Cavaliers vs. Celtics Odds & Value Pick 10/28/22

by | Oct 28, 2022 | nba

Cleveland Cavaliers (3-1 SU, 3-1-0 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (3-1 SU, 2-2-0
ATS)

When: Friday, October 28th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: TD Garden, MA, Boston

TV: NBSB

Point Spread: CLE +5.5/ BOS -5.5

Total: 219.0

Money Line: Cleveland Cavaliers +185/ -226

Notable Injuries

Cavaliers

  • Ricky Rubio (Out) Knee
  • Darius Garland (Out) Eye
  • Dylan Windler (Out) Ankle

Celtics

  • Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
  • Robert Williams III (Out) Knee
  • Grant Williams (Out) Suspension

Recent Form

So far, the Cavaliers have put together an overall record of 3-1, while going 3-1-0 vs the
spread. In today’s game, Cleveland will look to extend their 3 game winning streak. This has come
while posting an average scoring margin of 17.67.

The Cavaliers will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Magic by a score
of 103-92. Heading into the game, they were 9 point favorites on the spread, giving them an ATS
win. Although Cleveland held just a 4 point lead at half, they put together a strong second half
on their way to a 11 point victory. Leading the team in scoring was Evan Mobley, as he
contributed 22 points while hitting 60.0% of his shots.

The Celtics come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 3-1. So far, the team has gone
2-2-0 against the spread. Across the team’s previous 3 games, they have gone 2-1 straight-up and
1-2 vs the spread.

In their previous game, the Celtics were favored to win vs the Bulls. However, their 120-102
loss gave them both a straight up and ATS defeat. Boston struggled throughout the game, as they
were not able to chip home at a 11 point halftime deficit. Leading the team in scoring was Jayson
Tatum, as he contributed 26 points while hitting 44.4% of his shots.

The Historicals

Last season, the Celtics finished with the leg up in their head-to-head games vs Cleveland,
going 2-1. When they played the Cavaliers at home, they posted a mark of 1-0. Last year, the
Cavaliers saw a drop in overall scoring when playing the Celtics, averaging 94.67 points per
game. Like the Cavaliers, the Celtics scored at a rate below their season average, finishing with
99.33 points per game vs Cleveland. Through the last 5 head-to-head matchups, neither team has
gotten a leg up on the spread, each sitting at 2-2-1. In addition, the games have been
competitive with an average of just 0 points per game separating the teams. In these matchups,
the teams have put together an over-under mark of 1-4. Combined, they averaged 200 points in
these games.

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Analysis

Through 4 games, Cleveland is averaging 113.2 points per game (15th). So far, the Cavaliers
are averaging 97.6 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Even though the
Cavaliers are one of the more efficient 3-point shooting teams in the NBA at 40.5%, their
slower-style of play may be holding back the team’s offense from fully taking off.

Against the Celtics, the Cavaliers will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the
year, they are the 5th ranked unit at 105.67 points per game.

A key matchup to watch is if the team’s leading scorer Donovan Mitchell will be limited at all
by the Celtics, who are on the NBA’s top teams at limiting the scoring of opposing shooting
guards.

The Boston offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 10th ranked offense
at 116 points per game. The Celtics come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point
shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 15.8 made 3’s per game. If the Celtics’ offense is going
to improve, they could look to play at a faster tempo, as they currently average just 96.4
possession per game. This could benefit the team as they are currently one of the better 3-point
shooting units in the NBA.

So far, the Celtics have played well defensively, as they are ranked 1st in the league at
104.48 points per contest.

A key matchup to watch is if the teams leading scorer Jayson Tatum will be limited at all by
the Cavaliers, who are on the NBA’s top teams at limiting the scoring of opposing
small-forwards.

More Picks: Lakers vs. Timberwolves betting analysis and suggested wager for 10/28/22

Betting Trends

  • Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Celticsics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
  • Celtics are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Lakeshow has been the center of much negativity and controversy. However, +8.5 is too
many points. L.A. is the best bet on the board tonight!