Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks Point Spread Pick

by | Last updated Apr 27, 2022 | nba

Chicago Bulls (47-39 SU, 44-41-1 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (54-32 SU, 41-45-0 ATS)

When: Wednesday April 27 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin


Point Spread: CHI +12/MIL -12 (Opened MIL -10 at BAS – They let you bet on games at -105 instead of -110! Saves you an enormous amount of cash!)

Total: 218 (Opened at 219.5)

Money Line: Chicago Bulls 562/Milwaukee Bucks -845

Power Rating: MIL -12

Probable Starting Lineups

Chicago Bulls PG Alex Caruso Q, SG Zach LaVine Q, SF DeMar DeRozan, PF Patrick Williams, C Nikola Vucevic

Milwaukee Bucks PG Jrue Holiday, SG Wesley Matthews, SF Giannis Antetokounmpo, PF Bobby Portis, C Brook Lopez

Key Injuries

Chicago Bulls
Matt Thomas: Leg (OUT)
Zach LaVine: Illness (OUT)
Alex Caruso: Concussion (DOUBTFUL)
Lonzo Ball: Knee (OUT)

Milwaukee Bucks
Luca Vildoza: Illness (PROBABLE)
George Hill: Abdominal (QUESTIONABLE)
Khris Middleton: Knee (OUT)

The Milwaukee Bucks host the Chicago Bulls in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the Fiserv Forum.

Recent Form

The Chicago Bulls come into this game with an overall record of 46-36, placing them 6th in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Chicago has struggled in their 43 road contests, sitting at 20-23. Over the Bulls’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Chicago’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 100.0 points per game. Combined, the Bulls’ last five opponents are giving up 112.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Bulls are allowing an average of 111.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 111.8. In the Chicago Bulls’ most recent game, the team fell to Milwaukee by a score of 119-95.

The Milwaukee Bucks come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Milwaukee is above .500 at home, holding a record of 28-15. The Bucks have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Milwaukee’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 110.0 points per game. Combined, the Bucks’ last five opponents are giving up 111.0 points per contest. The Bucks come into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 102.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 111.3. In the Milwaukee Bucks’ most recent game, Milwaukee took down Chicago by a score of 119-95.


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Individual Player Analysis

As Chicago travels to take on the Milwaukee Bucks, the Bulls’ leading scorer is DeMar DeRozan. Through 76 games, DeRozan is averaging 27 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 51.0% of his games. Against the Bucks, DeRozan will need to be on top of his game as Milwaukee is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 38.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the Bucks in scoring, averaging 29 points across his 68 games. Throughout the season, Antetokounmpo has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. Given that Chicago’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Giannis Antetokounmpo should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Bulls have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.43% of their games, giving them a rank of 20th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Milwaukee Bucks are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 23 of Milwaukee’s 80 games, leading to a winning percentage of 74%. So far, the Chicago Bulls have played 16 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 16 times, by an average margin of -16.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Chicago Bulls and Milwaukee Bucks have met up for 8 games. In their last meeting, Milwaukee picked up a 119-95 win.

How the Public is Betting the Bulls vs Bucks

67% are betting the Bucks against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 218

More Picks: Check out Joe’s Nuggets at Warriors Game 5 Pick ATS >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
  • Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into this game 5 matchup between Milwaukee and Chicago, the Bucks will be looking to close out the Bulls and turn their focus to the Boston Celtics in round 2. In the two games leading up to tonight’s matchup, Milwaukee sucked the life out of a Chicago team that was hopeful of pulling off the upset. However, even without Khris Middleton, the Bucks dominated both games at the United Center, led by two breakout performances by Grayson Allen. The point spread for game 5 sits at 12.0 points in favor of Milwaukee, as the Bulls will be without Zach Lavine and Alex Caruso. Although DeMar DeRozan is coming off an outstanding regular season and has had moments of excellence in this series, it won’t be enough to take down the Bucks. Look for this game to play out similar to the matchups in Chicago, I recommend taking Milwaukee to cover the spread. Bet your Bulls vs. Bucks prediction and ALL your NBA playoff bets for free by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 at Betnow Sportsbook when you use bonus code PREDICTEM.