Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction

by | Last updated Feb 27, 2022 | nba

Dallas Mavericks (35-25 SU, 33-26-1 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (43-17 SU, 30-26-4 ATS)

When: Sunday February 27 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, California


Point Spread: DAL +4.5/GSW -4.5(Opened GSW -4.5 at BetNow; Home of the 100% real cash bonus up to $1000!)

Total: 219.0 (Opened at 219.5)

Money Line: Dallas Mavericks +165/Golden State Warriors -195

Power Rating: GSW -6

Probable Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Golden State Warriors PG Stephen Curry, SG Gary Payton II, SF Klay Thompson Q, PF Andrew Wiggins, C Kevon Looney

Key Injuries

Marquese Chriss: knee (QUESTIONABLE) Tim Hardaway Jr.: foot (OUT) Theo Pinson: finger (QUESTIONABLE)

Draymond Green: calf (OUT) Andre Iguodala: back (OUT) James Wiseman: knee (OUT)

The Golden State Warriors host the Dallas Mavericks in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the Chase Center.

Recent Form

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 35-25, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 15-14. Over their last five games, the Mavericks have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 110.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. Even though Dallas has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 107.0 points per game, up from the Mavericks’ usual rate of 103.5. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, the team fell to Portland by a score of 114-109.

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 43-17, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 at home, holding a record of 26-6. Over the Warriors’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. During this stretch, Golden State is averaging 117.0 points per game, 6.0 points more than their season average of 111.0. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Warriors’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 112.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 103.6. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down Portland by a score of 132-95.

Individual Player Analysis

As Dallas travels to take on the Golden State Warriors, the Mavericks’ leading scorer is Luka Doncic. Through 45 games, Doncic is averaging 27 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 38.0% of his games. So far, the Warriors are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 45.65% of their games, placing them 11th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Stephen Curry leads the Warriors in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 55 games. Throughout the season, Curry has outscored his season average in 44.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Curry will need to do so against a Mavericks defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 33.33%. This figure is good for a rank of 2nd in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Golden State Warriors are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 23 of Golden State’s 60 games, leading to a winning percentage of 87%. So far, the Dallas Mavericks have played 3 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 3 times, by an average margin of -18.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Golden State took game one by a score of 130-92.

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How the Public is Betting the Mavericks vs Warriors

66% are betting the Warriors against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 219.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
  • Mavericks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
  • Warriors are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into this game, the Golden State Warriors have Klay Thompson listed as questionable with an illness. This is in addition to still missing Draymond Green with his calf injury. Over the Warriors’ last 5 games, they have covered the spread just one time. On the other side, Dallas has covered the spread in three straight contests. Look for this trend to continue as the Mavericks take down the Warriors. Question: Do you bet pre-game or jump in after you’ve assessed how a team is playing that day? The latter is an awesome opportunity to partake in prior to risking your hard earned loot! Check out the sportsbook with the best live betting platform!