Golden State Warriors at Philadelphia 76ers Odds & Predictions

by | Dec 11, 2021 | nba

Golden State Warriors (21-4 SU, 17-7-1 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (14-12 SU, 12-14 ATS)
When: Saturday December 11 2021, 08:30 PM (ET)
Where: Wells Fargo Center: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
TV: ABC

Point Spread: GSW -1.5/PHI 1.5 (Opened at GSW +1 at MyBookie)
Total: 214.5 (Opened at 214.5)
Money Line: Golden State -125/Philadelphia 105)
Power Rating: GSW -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Warriors: PG Steph Curry, SG Jordan Poole, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney
76ers: PG Tryese Maxey, SG Seth Curry, SF Danny Green, PF Tobias Harris, C Joel Embiid

Key Injuries

Warriors Andre Iguodala: knee (PROBABLE) Klay Thompson: knee (QUESTIONABLE) James Wiseman: knee (OUT)

76ers Grant Riller: knee (QUESTIONABLE) Ben Simmons: holdout (OUT)

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors enter today’s game, having won four of their past five games. When playing away from home, the Warriors are an above .500 team, having gone 3-0. The Warriors travel to Philadelphia with a positive plus-minus rating of 7.3 points as the road team. Overall the Warriors are ranked 1st among NBA teams in point differential (0.9). Among NBA teams, they have played the 27th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Golden State Warriors to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they have covered in 70.80% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 6.4.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Stephen Curry. So far, Curry is averaging 27.46 points per game. This output places him 1st among point guards. Curry is also the team’s top three-point shooter, connecting on 5.5 shots from downtown per game. Draymond Green has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 8.04 boards per game.

The Philadelphia 76ers enter today’s game, having won 3 of their past five games. When playing at Wells Fargo Center, the 76ers have played at a .500 rate, having gone 1-1. As they get set to host the Warriors, Philadelphia has a positive home plus-minus of 0.5 points. Overall the 76ers are ranked 13th among NBA teams in point differential (5.9). All of this is coming while playing the 7th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Philadelphia 76ers to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they have covered in 46.20% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 0.2.

On offense, PG Tyrese Maxey is the team’s scoring leader among qualified players. So far, Maxey is averaging 16.52 points per game. The 76ers’ best three-point shooter has been Seth Curry, connecting on 2.21 shots from downtown per game. Andre Drummond has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 9.72 boards per game.

An Eye On Pace

Coming into this game, the Golden State Warriors are the 7th ranked team in possessions per game. So far, the team has used its 99.7 possessions per game into a lot of 3-point looks. On the year, they are averaging 41 attempts from downtown per game. This figure places them 2nd in the NBA. On the other side, Philadelphia would prefer to slow the game down. Through 26 games, the team is 29th in pace. Their deliberate tempo has led to a ranking of 23rd in attempted three-point shots.

Efficiences And Matchups

The key matchup to watch will be how the 76ers deal with Golden State’s 3rd ranked offense. So far, the unit is allowing their opponents to hit 36% of their looks from outside, placing them 20th in the league. On offense, the Sixers will also have the tall task of scoring against the NBA’s top defensive unit. Through 25 games, Golden State’s only weakness has been their tendency to put teams on the line.

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The Historicals

Tonight’s game vs. Philadelphia and Golden State will be the second time the two teams have played this season. In the first matchup, the Warriors at home by a score of 116-96.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs. 76ers

65% are betting the Warriors against the spread.
52 % are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 214.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
  • 76ers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • 76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

As with most games involving Golden State, this contest will be decided by how each team can connect on three-point shots. The 76ers will try to slow down the tempo to limit the number of opportunities for Steph Curry and company. However, this Sixers team doesn’t have the defensive personnel to keep up with Golden State for four quarters. Look for the Warriors to win this one and easily cover the spread.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

Even though I see Golden State winning this game. I also see Joel Embiid having a big game. Throughout the night, Embiid should be able to get what he wants against Kevon looney and Nemanja Bjelica. Look for a big scoring night from the Philly big man.