Hawks vs. Heat Game 5 Odds & Predictions

by | Apr 26, 2022 | nba

Atlanta Hawks (46-42 SU, 40-48-0 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (56-30 SU, 49-36-1 ATS)

When: Tuesday April 26 2022, 07:00 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

TV: BSSE-ATL

Point Spread: ATL +7.5/MIA -7.5 (Opened MIA -7 at MyBookie - Sign up through our special link and use bonus code PREDICT100 and they’ll give you a 100% bonus up to $300!)

Total: 217 (Opened at 217.5)

Money Line: Atlanta Hawks 256/Miami Heat -327

Power Rating: MIA -8

Probable Starting Lineups

Miami Heat PG Gabe Vincent Q, SG Max Strus, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker Q, C Bam Adebayo Q

Atlanta Hawks PG Trae Young, SG Kevin Huerter, SF De’Andre Hunter, PF Danilo Gallinari, C Clint Capela Q

Key Injuries

Atlanta Hawks
Lou Williams: Back (OUT)
Bogdan Bogdanovic: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Clint Capela: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Chaundee Brown: Illness (OUT)

Miami Heat
Gabe Vincent: Toe (PROBABLE)
P.J. Tucker: Calf (QUESTIONABLE)
Caleb Martin: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Kyle Lowry: Hamstring (OUT)

The Miami Heat host the Atlanta Hawks in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:00 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The Atlanta Hawks come into this game with an overall record of 43-39, placing them 10th in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Atlanta has struggled in their 44 road contests, sitting at 17-27. Over the Hawks’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Atlanta’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 100.0 points per game. Combined, the Hawks’ last five opponents are giving up 105.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Hawks are allowing an average of 110.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 112.1. In the Atlanta Hawks’ most recent game, the team fell to Miami by a score of 110-86.

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 31-12. The Heat have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 112.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 112.0 points per contest. The Heat have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 104.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 105.2. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Atlanta by a score of 110-86.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Atlanta travels to take on the Miami Heat, the Hawks’ leading scorer is Trae Young. Through 76 games, Young is averaging 28 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 50.0% of his games. So far, the Heat are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.82% of their games, placing them 19th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 58 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. Given that Atlanta’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Jimmy Butler should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Hawks have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 62.69% of their games, giving them a rank of 29th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Hawks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 112.5 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Atlanta is winning at a rate of 40%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 12.0 points. On the other side, the Heat hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 37 games as the better defensive team, picking up 29 wins (78%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat have met up for 8 games. In their last meeting, Miami picked up a 110-86 win.

How the Public is Betting the Hawks vs Heat

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 217

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Heat return home to Miami, looking to close out the Hawks in game 5 of this first-round series. After assuring they had avoided the sweep, Atlanta wasn’t about to muster enough offense in game 4, putting up just 86 points. Overall, the team shot just 40%, including managing just 26 points in the paint compared to Miami at 48. Once again, point guard, Trae Young was stifled by the Heat’s defense, putting up just 9 points. Heading into this matchup, both teams are dealing with injury concerns, as Kyle Lowry is out, and there is a chance Clint Capela won’t play for the Hawks. However, Miami will be looking to get Victor Oladipo more involved, as it will be an additional two-way weapon for the team as the playoffs continue. With a spread sitting at 7.5 points in favor of the Heat, look for the home team to pick up the win and cover the spread. Bet your Hawks vs. Heat prediction for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus at GTBets Sportsbook! They have a cool rewards program too!