Heat vs. 76ers Game 3 Predictions

by | May 6, 2022 | nba

Miami Heat (59-30 SU, 51-37-1 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (55-35 SU, 42-47-1 ATS)

When: Friday May 06 2022, 07:00 PM (ET)

Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: MIA -3/PHI +3 (Opened PHI -1 at Bovada - Home of the web’s BEST live betting platform!)

Total: 210.5 (Opened at 210.5)

Money Line: Miami Heat -151/Philadelphia 76ers 125

Power Rating: MIA -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Miami Heat PG Gabe Vincent Q, SG Max Strus Q, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker Q, C Bam Adebayo

Philadelphia 76ers PG James Harden, SG Tyrese Maxey, SF Danny Green, PF Tobias Harris, C DeAndre Jordan

Key Injuries

Miami Heat
Gabe Vincent: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
P.J. Tucker: Calf (QUESTIONABLE)
Caleb Martin: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Max Strus: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)
Tyler Herro: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Kyle Lowry: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)

Philadelphia 76ers
Joel Embiid: Head (OUT)
Georges Niang: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Miami Heat in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:00 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center.

Recent Form

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 25-18. Over their last five games, the Heat have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 108.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. Miami comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 97.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 104.9. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Philadelphia by a score of 119-103

The Philadelphia 76ers come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Philadelphia is above .500 at home, holding a record of 26-18. Over the 76ers’ last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. In this stretch, Philadelphia’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 103.0 points per game. Combined, the 76ers’ last five opponents are giving up 106.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the 76ers are allowing an average of 107.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 107.2. In the Philadelphia 76ers’ most recent game, the team fell to Miami by a score of 119-103.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Miami travels to take on the Philadelphia 76ers, the Heat’s leading scorer is Jimmy Butler. Through 58 games, Butler is averaging 21 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 50.0% of his games. So far, the 76ers are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, placing them 17th among NBA defenses. On the other side, the Sixers will need another big performance from Tyrese Maxey, who is coming off a 34-point game 2 performance. Given that Miami’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Maxey should be in line for another big performance. So far, the Heat have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 55.88% of their games, giving them a rank of 27th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The 76ers come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.3 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Philadelphia is winning at a rate of 69%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 11.0 points. On the other side, the Heat hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 36 games as the better defensive team, picking up 21 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers have met up for 6 games. In their last meeting, Miami picked up a 119-103 win.

How the Public is Betting the Heat vs 76ers

67% are betting the Sixers against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 210.5

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • 76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 76ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The big question heading into this matchup is surrounding the status of Joel Embiid, as he will be a game time decision for game 3. After being blown out in the first two meetings, the Sixers are just 3-point underdogs, as the series shifts to Philly. Even with the chance of scenery, I recommend taking the Heat to cover the spread, as Miami has benefited from the emergence of Victor Oladipo and have a chance of getting Kyle Lowry back in the lineup. Bet your Heat/76ers pick and ALL your NBA playoffs bets for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook when you use bonus/promo code PREDICT100 when you register for a new betting account! Click here to grab your free bets!