Heat vs. 76ers Game 6 Odds, Analysis & Pick ATS

by | May 12, 2022 | nba

Miami Heat (60-32 SU, 52-39-1 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (57-36 SU, 44-48-1 ATS)

When: Thursday May 12 2022, 07:00 PM (ET)

Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: MIA +2.5/PHI -2.5 (Opened PHI -2 at MyBookie - Use bonus code PREDICT100 and they’ll give you a special 100% real cash bonus up to $300!)

Total: 207 (Opened at 207.5)

Money Line: Miami Heat 114/Philadelphia 76ers -138

Power Rating: PHI -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Philadelphia 76ers PG James Harden, SG Tyrese Maxey, SF Danny Green, PF Tobias Harris, C Joel Embiid Q

Miami Heat PG Game Vincent Q SG Max Strus , SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker P C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

Miami Heat
P.J. Tucker: Calf (PROBABLE)
Gabe Vincent: Knee (PROBABLE)
Max Strus: Hamstring (PROBABLE)
Kyle Lowry: Hamstring (OUT)
Caleb Martin: Ankle (PROBABLE)
Tyler Herro: Ankle (PROBABLE)

Philadelphia 76ers
Isaiah Joe: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Matisse Thybulle: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Joel Embiid: Face (PROBABLE)

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Miami Heat in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:00 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center.

Recent Form

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 25-20. Over their last five games, the Heat have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 106.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. Miami comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 99.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 104.8. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Philadelphia by a score of 120-85

The Philadelphia 76ers come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Philadelphia is above .500 at home, holding a record of 28-18. Over the 76ers’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Philadelphia’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 99.0 points per game. Combined, the 76ers’ last five opponents are giving up 105.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the 76ers are allowing an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 107.0. In the Philadelphia 76ers’ most recent game, the team fell to Miami by a score of 120-85.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Miami travels to take on the Philadelphia 76ers, the Heat’s leading scorer is Jimmy Butler. Through 58 games, Butler is averaging 21 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 50.0% of his games. Against the 76ers, Butler will need to be on top of his game as Philadelphia is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 46.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Joel Embiid leads the 76ers in scoring, averaging 30 points across his 71 games. Throughout the season, Embiid has outscored his season average in 52.0% of his outings. Given that Miami’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Joel Embiid should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Heat have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 55.88% of their games, giving them a rank of 27th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Miami Heat are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 28 of Miami’s 41 games, leading to a winning percentage of 61%. So far, the Philadelphia 76ers have played 48 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 48 times, by an average margin of -12.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers have met up for 9 games. In their last meeting, Miami picked up a 120-85 win.

How the Public is Betting the Heat vs 76ers

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 207

Get Joe’s Phoenix at Dallas Game 6 Best Bet >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Heat are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 76ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • 76ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into game 6 of this Eastern Conference semi-finals series, the Miami Heat have an opportunity to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. To do so, they will need to pick up the win in Philadelphia, where they have lost both times. Even though Miami will be without Kyle Lowry, I expect them to finish off the Sixers in game 6. In their last game, the Heat put up 120 points, as 6 different players reached double figures. I recommend taking Miami straight up, getting +114 on the moneyline. Want more bonus dollars? Deposit $100 to $500 and use bonus code PREDICTEM and you’ll receive a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 at Betnow Sportsbook! Free money is GOOD money!