Suns vs. Mavericks Game 6 Betting Odds & Free Pick ATS

by | May 12, 2022 | nba

Phoenix Suns (71-22 SU, 51-42-0 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (58-35 SU, 54-37-2 ATS)
When: Thursday May 12 2022, 09:30 PM (ET)
Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas Texas
TV: ESPN

Point Spread: PHX -2/DAL +2 (Opened PHX -1 at SportsBetting.ag)
Total: 212 (Opened at 213)
Money Line: Phoenix Suns -130/Dallas Mavericks +108
Power Rating: PHX -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Phoenix Suns PG Chris Paul, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton

Key Injuries

Phoenix Suns
Jae Crowder: Shoulder (PROBABLE)
Dario Saric: Knee (OUT)

Dallas Mavericks
Reggie Bullock: Knee (PROBABLE)
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

The Dallas Mavericks host the Phoenix Suns in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center.

Recent Form

The Phoenix Suns come into this game with an overall record of 64-18, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far, Phoenix is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 34-12. Over their last five games, the Suns have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Phoenix’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 111.0 points per game. Combined, the Suns’ last five opponents are giving up 105.0 points per contest. Phoenix comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 103.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 107.3. In the Phoenix Suns’ most recent game, Phoenix took down Dallas by a score of 110-80

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 52-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 at home, holding a record of 33-13. Over the Mavericks’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 103.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Mavericks’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 111.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 104.7. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, the team fell to Phoenix by a score of 110-80.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Phoenix travels to take on the Dallas Mavericks, the Suns’ leading scorer is Devin Booker. Through 79 games, Booker is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 48.0% of his games. So far, the Mavericks are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 48.57% of their games, placing them 12nd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring, averaging 28 points across his 67 games. Throughout the season, Doncic has outscored his season average in 42.0% of his outings. Given that Phoenix’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Luka Doncic should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Suns have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.67% of their games, giving them a rank of 22nd among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Phoenix Suns are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 35 of Phoenix’s 41 games, leading to a winning percentage of 83%. So far, the Dallas Mavericks have played 45 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 45 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks have met up for 8 games. In their last meeting, Phoenix picked up a 110-80 win.

How the Public is Betting the Suns vs Mavericks

67% are betting the Suns against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 212

More Picks: Miami at Philadelphia Game 6 Analysis & Pick to Bet >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
  • Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Mavericks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The games in this Western Conference series between Dallas and Phoenix have been traditionally dominated by one side. The closest outcome came in game 1, with the Suns winning by 7. However, in this crucial game 6, Phoenix enters as just 2-point favorites. So far, Dallas has a completely different defensive team on their home floor, holding the Suns to 94 and 101 points, respectively. I expect this series to come down to a game 7, and recommend taking Dallas +2. Did you know that you could be betting on NBA games at -105 vig instead of -110? Imagine how many thousands of dollars you’d have saved in unnecessary risk you’d have saved if you were betting at reduced odds! TONS! Stop wasting your hard earned money TODAY! Start saving big bucks by making the switch to BetAnySports Sportsbook! You’ll be so glad you did!