Heat vs. Celtics Pick ATS 3/30/22

by | Mar 30, 2022 | nba

Miami Heat (48-28 SU, 41-34-1 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (47-29 SU, 39-34-3 ATS)

When: Wednesday March 30 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

TV: BSSUN

Point Spread: MIA +4.5/BOS -4.5 (Opened BOS -5 at MyBookie - Use bonus code PREDICT100 to receive a 100% bonus up to $300!)

Total: 214.5 (Opened at 214.5)

Money Line: Miami 153/Boston -185

Power Rating: BOS -3

Probable Starting Lineups

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry, SG Max Strus, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker, C Bam Adebayo

Boston Celtics PG Marcus Smart, SG Jaylen Brown P, SF Jayson Tatum P, PF Grant Williams, C Al Horford Off Inj

Key Injuries

Miami Heat
Duncan Robinson: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
Caleb Martin: Calf (QUESTIONABLE)

Boston Celtics
Jaylen Brown: Knee (PROBABLE)
Jayson Tatum: Knee (PROBABLE)
Al Horford: Personal (PROBABLE)
Robert Williams III: Knee (OUT)

The Boston Celtics host the Miami Heat in an Eastern Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the TD Garden.

Recent Form

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 48-28, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 21-16. Over the Heat’s last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 106.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. A key reason for Miami’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 110.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 105.2. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Sacramento by a score of 123-100

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 47-29, placing them 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 at home, holding a record of 26-12. The Celtics have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Boston is averaging 125.0 points per game, 14.0 points more than their season average of 110.8. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. Even though the Celtics have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 110.0 points per game, up from Boston’s usual rate of 104.0. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, the team fell to Toronto by a score of 115-112.

Individual Player Analysis

As Miami travels to take on the Boston Celtics, the Heat’s leading scorer is Jimmy Butler. Through 53 games, Butler is averaging 21 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 47.0% of his games. As Butler gets set to take on the Celtics, he could be in line for a big game as Boston is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.52% of their games. This figure places them 21st among NBA defenses. On the other side, Jayson Tatum leads the Celtics in scoring, averaging 27 points across his 71 games. Throughout the season, Tatum has outscored his season average in 41.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Tatum will need to do so against a Heat defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 27.12%. This figure is good for a rank of 0th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Boston Celtics are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 27 of Boston’s 74 games, leading to a winning percentage of 59%. So far, the Miami Heat have played 3 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 3 times, by an average margin of -30.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Boston picked up a 122-92 win.

How the Public is Betting the Heat vs Celtics

67% are betting the Celtics against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 214.5

More Picks: Denver at Indiana Point Spread Predictions >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Heat are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
  • Heat are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog.
  • Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Tonight’s game vs Miami and Boston is extremely important in how the Eastern Conference will shake out for the playoffs. After briefly dropping out of first place, the Heat have regained a 1 game lead in the East. However, they are still far from playing their best basketball, as they have just 4 wins in 10 games. On the other side, Boston is still one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning 8 of their last 10 contests. Look for the Celtics to ride this momentum to a win and cover the 4.5 point spread. Note: The massive 100% bonus offer at Betnow Sportsbook ends in 2 days! Be sure to grab it before it disappears! “Deposit $100 to $1000 and get a 100% REAL CASH bonus! Click here to sign up now!