Nuggets vs. Pacers Prediction ATS 3/30/22

by | Mar 30, 2022 | nba

Denver Nuggets (45-31 SU, 35-41-0 ATS) vs. Indiana Pacers (25-51 SU, 33-41-2 ATS)

When: Wednesday March 30 2022, 07:00 PM (ET)

Where: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana

TV: ALT

Point Spread: DEN -9.5/IND +9.5 (Opened at DEN -9.5 Bovada - Offers a 50% real cash bonus up to $250 in free bets!)

Total: 232 (Opened at 232.5)

Money Line: Denver Nuggets -453/Indiana Pacers 348

Power Rating: DEN -10

Probable Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green, C Nikola Jokic

Indiana Pacers PG Tyrese Haliburton, SG Buddy Hield, SF Justin Anderson, PF Oshae Brissett Off Inj, C Goga Bitadze Q

Key Injuries

Denver Nuggets
JaMychal Green: Wrist (QUESTIONABLE)
Michael Porter Jr.: Back (OUT)
Vlatko Cancar: Foot (OUT)
Zeke Nnaji: Knee (OUT)

Indiana Pacers
Goga Bitadze: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Malcolm Brogdon: Rest (OUT)
Isaiah Jackson: Head (QUESTIONABLE)
Duane Washington Jr.: Hip (QUESTIONABLE)
Oshae Brissett: Back (QUESTIONABLE)
Myles Turner: Foot (OUT)
Chris Duarte: Toe (OUT)
T.J. Warren: Foot (OUT)
Ricky Rubio: Knee (OUT)
T.J. McConnell: Wrist (OUT)

The Indiana Pacers host the Denver Nuggets in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:00 PM ET at the Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Recent Form

The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 45-31, placing them 5th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 23-16. Over their last five games, the Nuggets have played well, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 117.0 points per game, 5.0 points more than their season average of 111.8. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. Even though Denver has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 119.0 points per game, up from the Nuggets’ usual rate of 109.4. In the Denver Nuggets’ most recent game, Denver took down Charlotte by a score of 113-109

The Indiana Pacers come into this game with an overall record of 25-51, placing them 13rd in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Indiana has struggled in their 38 home contests, sitting at 16-22. Over the Pacers’ last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. In this stretch, Indiana’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 111.0 points per game. Combined, the Pacers’ last five opponents are giving up 112.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Pacers’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 121.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 113.9. In the Indiana Pacers’ most recent game, the team fell to Atlanta by a score of 132-123.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Denver travels to take on the Indiana Pacers, the Nuggets’ leading scorer is Nikola Jokic. Through 69 games, Jokic is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 43.0% of his games. Against the Pacers, Jokic will need to be on top of his game as Indiana is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 35.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Indiana will welcome anyone to carry the load on offense, as they are dealing with injuries to several key players. However, if someone is going to step up, they will need to do so against a Nuggets defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 40.62%. This figure is good for a rank of 4th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Denver Nuggets are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 16 of Denver’s 38 games, leading to a winning percentage of 69%. So far, the Indiana Pacers have played 59 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 59 times, by an average margin of -11.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Denver Nuggets and Indiana Pacers have met up for 1 game. Denver took game one by a score of 101-98.

How the Public is Betting the Nuggets vs Pacers

67% are betting the Nuggets against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 232.0

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Nuggets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
  • Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
  • Pacers are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 Wednesday games.
  • Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Denver Nuggets come into this matchup as the far better overall team. However, throughout the season, the Nuggets have been disappointing against the spread, posting an ATS record of just 35-31. This includes covering just twice in their past 5 games. However, look for Nikola Jokic and company to pick up an easy win over an Indiana team struggling to fill out a roster, as they have a laundry list of injuries. Bet your Nuggets/Pacers pick and ALL your NBA bets for FREE today by taking advantage of one of NUMEROUS 100% real cash bonuses on our sportsbook bonuses page!