Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks Prediction ATS 3/13/22

by | Mar 13, 2022 | nba

Indiana Pacers (23-45 SU, 31-35-2 ATS) vs. Atlanta Hawks (32-34 SU, 28-38-0 ATS)
When: Sunday March 13 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)
Where: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia
TV: BSIN

Point Spread: IND +11/ATL -11 (Opened at ATL -11 GTBets)
Total: 236.5 (Opened at 236.5)
Money Line: Indiana 469/Atlanta -677
Power Rating: ATL -9

Probable Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers PG Tyrese Haliburton, SG Buddy Hield, SF Chris Duarte, PF Oshae Brissett, C Isaiah Jackson
Atlanta Hawks PG Trae Young, SG Kevin Huerter, SF De’Andre Hunter, PF John Collins Q, C Clint Capela

Key Injuries

Indiana Pacers Malcolm Brogdon: Concussion (QUESTIONABLE) Lance Stephenson: Ankle (OUT) Myles Turner: Foot (OUT) T.J. Warren: Foot (OUT) Ricky Rubio: Knee (OUT) T.J. McConnell: Wrist (OUT)

Atlanta Hawks Atlanta has no reported injuries at this time.

The Atlanta Hawks host the Indiana Pacers in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the State Farm Arena.

Recent Form

The Indiana Pacers come into this game with an overall record of 23-45, placing them 13rd in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Indiana has struggled in their 34 road contests, sitting at 8-26. Over the Pacers’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. During this stretch, Indiana is averaging 119.0 points per game, 9.0 points more than their season average of 110.4. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. A key reason for Indiana’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 119.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 112.7. In the Indiana Pacers’ most recent game, Indiana took down San Antonio by a score of 119-108

The Atlanta Hawks come into this game with an overall record of 32-34, placing them 10nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Atlanta is above .500 at home, holding a record of 20-13. The Hawks have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Atlanta is averaging 117.0 points per game, 4.0 points more than their season average of 112.5. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. Even though the Hawks have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 116.0 points per game, up from Atlanta’s usual rate of 111.8. In the Atlanta Hawks’ most recent game, Atlanta took down the LA Clippers by a score of 112-106.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Indiana travels to take on the Atlanta Hawks, the Pacers’ leading scorer is Buddy Hield. Through 11 games, Hield is averaging 19 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 27.0% of his games. Against the Hawks, Hield will need to be on top of his game as Atlanta is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 45.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Trae Young leads the Hawks in scoring, averaging 27 points across his 59 games. Throughout the season, Young has outscored his season average in 54.0% of his outings. On the season, the Pacers have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, giving them a rank of 17th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Hawks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 112 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Atlanta is winning at a rate of 61%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 13.0 points. On the other side, the Pacers hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 3 games as the better defensive team, picking up 1 win.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Atlanta picked up a 133-112 win.

How the Public is Betting the Pacers vs Hawks

67% are betting the Hawks against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 236.5

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Pacers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
  • Pacers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
  • Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Hawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Atlanta Hawks get set to host the Indiana Pacers as heavy home favorites. For the year, neither team has performed well vs the spread, with Atlanta at 28-38 and Indiana at 31-35. In addition, the Hawks have failed to cover in 4 straight contests. Between the two teams, Atlanta holds a significant advantage on offense. So far, the Pacers have struggled to hit the three-point shot and turn the ball over at a rate above the league average. Look for the Hawks to pick up the win and cover the 11 point spread.