Lakers vs. Bucks Recommended Bet 12/2/22

by | Dec 2, 2022 | nba

Los Angeles Lakers (8-12 SU, 8-11-1 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (15-5 SU, 12-7-1 ATS)

When: Friday, December 2nd, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Fiserv Forum, WI, Milwaukee

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: LAL +8/ MIL -8 (Move the line a TON with the huge NBA teasers offered at Wagerweb! They’re MASSIVE!)

Total: 228.5

Money Line: Los Angeles Lakers +267/ -345

Notable Injuries

Lakers

  • Anthony Davis (Probable) Back
  • LeBron James (Probable) Adductor
  • Dennis Schröder (Questionable) Personal
  • Troy Brown Jr. (Probable) Foot
  • Lonnie Walker IV (Questionable) Foot

Bucks

  • Khris Middleton (Probable) Wrist
  • Joe Ingles (Out) ACL
  • Serge Ibaka (Out) Illness
  • MarJon Beauchamp (Out) Illness

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 8-12 overall. When taking to the road, Los Angeles has a mark of 2-6 and a win percent of 25.0%. Currently, the team is 13th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 8-11-1 vs the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs the spread, they are 3-2 in their past 5 games, and 3-1-1 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 6-4 SU and 6-3-1 ATS.

In their last game, Los Angeles defeated Trail Blazers (128-109) as 6-point favorites. LeBron James led the team with 31 on 66.7% shooting. The Lakers also covered the spread with the victory.

Heading into the game, Milwaukee is 15-5 overall. When playing at home, Milwaukee has a mark of 11-2 and a win percent of 85%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 12-7-1 vs the spread. Milwaukee will look to stay hot in today’s game vs Los Angeles as they are the winners of 3 straight games.

Milwaukee is looking to build on their most recent 109-103 win over Knicks. The Bucks were paced by a team-high 37 points from Giannis Antetokounmpo. When looking at the spread, Milwaukee and Knicks finished with an ATS push.

The Historicals

This will be the first matchup of the season between Los Angeles and Milwaukee. Last season, the Bucks picked up wins in both of their meetings. The two victories came by margins of 7 and 8 points.

Analysis

This season, the Lakers have loved to get up and down the court, as they are currently 2nd in the league in possessions per game. However, this has not fully translated into the offensive success they are looking for, as Los Angeles is 14th in scoring at 113.1 points per game. Los Angeles has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 28th in 3-point shooting percentage at 32.4%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.4 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for Los Angeles, as they are currently just 115.15 in points per game allowed. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.38% of their looks from deep, placing the Lakers 18th in the NBA.

Coming into the game Anthony Davis is the Lakers leading scorer at 26.3 points per game. Right behind him is Lebron James, who is also grabbing 8.6 board and dishing out 6.3 assists.

This year, the Milwaukee offense is not only near the NBA average in points at 112.3 points per game, but they are also playing at a pace similar to the league average. So far, the Bucks are ranked 15th in possessions per contest. The three-point shot has been a big part of Milwaukee’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 7th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 34.9% of their looks from the outside. On defense, the Bucks are allowing an average of 112.13 points per game, placing them 19th in the league. So far, opposing teams are hitting 35.73% of their looks from deep vs Milwaukee.

Giannis Antetokounmpo leads Milwaukee in scoring at 31.3 points per game while also grabbing 11.5 rebounds and dishing out 5.5 assists. Center Brook Lopez currently sits second on the team at 15.5 points per night.

Betting Trends

  • Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Lakeshow is HOT and the betting market doesn’t trust it and has yet to adjust. Over 77% are betting the Bucks. We love the Lakers as we believe they have a shot to win the game straight up. Bet the LAL at +8! Note: Do yourself a favor! Take 3 minutes to learn about reduced juice sports betitng! It’s the best investment you’ll make this year!