Mavericks vs. Pistons Predictions 4/6/22

by | Apr 6, 2022 | nba

Dallas Mavericks (49-30 SU, 45-33-1 ATS) vs. Detroit Pistons (23-56 SU, 44-33-2 ATS)
When: Wednesday April 06 2022, 07:00 PM (ET)
Where: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan
TV: BSSW-DAL

Point Spread: DAL -10/DET +10 (Opened DAL -10 at MyBookie)
Total: 220.5 (Opened at 220.5)
Money Line: Dallas Mavericks -481/Detroit Pistons 361
Power Rating: DAL -9

Probable Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Detroit Pistons PG Killian Hayes, SG Cade Cunningham Off Inj, SF Saddiq Bey, PF Isaiah Livers, C Isaiah Stewart

Key Injuries

Dallas Mavericks
Sterling Brown: Illness (PROBABLE)
Trey Burke: Illness (PROBABLE)
Maxi Kleber: Ankle (OUT)
Theo Pinson: Finger (PROBABLE)
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

Detroit Pistons
Luka Garza: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Cory Joseph: Back (QUESTIONABLE)
Marvin Bagley III: Hip Flexor (QUESTIONABLE)
Cade Cunningham: Hip (QUESTIONABLE)
Jerami Grant: Calf (OUT)
Hamidou Diallo: Finger (OUT)

The Detroit Pistons host the Dallas Mavericks in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:00 PM ET at the Little Caesars Arena.

Recent Form

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 49-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 22-18. Over their last five games, the Mavericks have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Dallas is averaging 117.0 points per game, 10.0 points more than their season average of 107.2. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. Even though Dallas has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 114.0 points per game, up from the Mavericks’ usual rate of 104.8. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, Dallas took down Milwaukee by a score of 118-112

The Detroit Pistons come into this game with an overall record of 23-56, placing them 14th in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Detroit has struggled in their 39 home contests, sitting at 13-26. The Pistons have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Detroit is averaging 112.0 points per game, 7.0 points more than their season average of 104.8. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. The Pistons have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 109.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 112.0. In the Detroit Pistons’ most recent game, Detroit took down Indiana by a score of 121-117.

Reduced Juice Sportsbook

BAS Sportsbook
BET AT -105
 
 

Individual Player Analysis

As Dallas travels to take on the Detroit Pistons, the Mavericks’ leading scorer is Luka Doncic. Through 64 games, Doncic is averaging 28 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 42.0% of his games. As Doncic gets set to take on the Pistons, he could be in line for a big game as Detroit is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 52.63% of their games. This figure places them 26th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Detroit will be hoping Saddiq Bey continues with his strong play, as he put up 31 points in the team’s recent win over Indiana. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Bey will need to do so against a Mavericks defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 42.86%. This figure is good for a rank of 6th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Dallas Mavericks are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 16 of Dallas’s 40 games, leading to a winning percentage of 69%. So far, the Detroit Pistons have played 63 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 63 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Dallas Mavericks and Detroit Pistons have met up for 1 game. Dallas took game one by a score of 116-86.

How the Public is Betting the Mavericks vs Pistons

67% are betting the Mavs against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 220.0

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
  • Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Pistons are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Pistons are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Dallas Mavericks will look to finish off their road trip with a win over the struggling Detroit Pistons. If the Mavs can pick up the victory, they will have gone 3-1 on the trip, including an impressive win over the Bucks. With just 3 games remaining, Dallas can cement themselves as at least the 4 seed, with an outside chance to overtake Golden State. With the spread sitting at 10 points in favor of the Mavericks, I like them to cover and pick up the easy win.