Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs Picks 1/26/22

by | Jan 26, 2022 | nba

Memphis Grizzlies (32-17 SU, 31-18-0 ATS) vs. San Antonio Spurs (18-30 SU, 25-23-0 ATS)

When: Wednesday January 26 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)

Where: AT&T Center: San Antonio, Texas

TV: BSSE-MEM

Point Spread: MEM -3.5/SAS 3.5 (Opened at -3.5 at MyBookie - Receive a 100% REAL CASH bonus up to $300 when you type in bonus code PREDICT100 on their registration page!)

Total: 227.5 (Opened at 227)

Money Line: Memphis -165/San Antonio 140)

Power Rating: MEM -7

Probable Starting Lineups

Grizzlies: PG Ja Morant, SG Desmond Bane, SF Ziare Williams, PF Jaren Jackson Jr, C Steven Adams

Spurs: PG Dejounte Murray, SG Derrick White, SF Keldon Johnson, PF Devin Vassell, C Jakob Poeltl

Key Injuries

Grizzlies
Dillon Brooks: ankle (OUT) Brandon Clarke: back (QUESTIONABLE) Tyus Jones: illness (OUT)

Spurs
No Reported Injuries

Recent Form

The Memphis Grizzlies enter today’s game, having won seven of their past ten games. When playing away from home, the Grizzlies are an above .500 team, having gone 15-8. As the road team, Memphis travels to San Antonio with an even point differential. Overall the Grizzlies are ranked 7th among NBA teams in point differential (0.5), while playing the 9th most difficult schedule.

For bettors, taking the Memphis Grizzlies to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they have covered in 63.30% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 2.6.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Ja Morant. So far, Morant is averaging 25.33 points per game, placing him 2nd among point guards. The Grizzlies’ best three-point shooter has been Desmond Bane, connecting on 2.91 shots from downtown per game, while Steven Adams has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 9.31 boards per contest.

The San Antonio Spurs enter today’s game, having won three of their past ten games. When playing in San Antonio, the Spurs have played at a below .500 rate, having gone 9-15. As they get set to host the Grizzlies, San Antonio has a positive home plus-minus of 0.7 points. Overall the Spurs are ranked 16th among NBA teams in point differential (-1.8) while playing the 11th easiest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Memphis Grizzlies to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they have covered 52.10% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 2.1.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Dejounte Murray. So far, Murray is averaging 19.28 points per game. Behind him is Keldon Johnson knocking down 46% of his field-goal attempts. The team’s top rebounder is Jakob Poeltl, at 9.08 boards per game.

An Eye On Pace

The San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies come into this game ranked as the first and second-ranked teams in field goal attempts per game, respectively. This up-tempo style of play is a key reason each unit ranks in the top 10 in overall scoring. However, don’t look for a lot of three-point shooting as both teams are below the league average in three-point attempts per contest.

Key Matchups

In this matchup, look for the Grizzlies to have a good game inside as they are the top-ranked team in points in the paint, while San Antonio ranks just 28th in points in the paint allowed. In addition, the Spurs have struggled to keep their opponents from racking up offense rebounds, while Memphis is one of the top offensive rebounding teams in the NBA.

The Historicals

Tonight’s matchup between the Nets and Lakers will be their second matchup of the season, with Memphis taking the first game by a score of 118 to 105.

More Picks: Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz Predicted Point Spread Winner >>>

How the Public is betting the Grizzlies vs. Spurs

65% are betting the Grizzlies against the spread.

54% are wagering on the game to go Under the posted total of 227.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss.
  • Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite.
  • Spurs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

In this game, I recommend taking the Grizzlies to cover the -4 point spread. Even though the Spurs will be playing at home, Memphis is a tough matchup for a team that struggles with interior play. Throughout the season, San Antonio opponents have dominated the offensive glass and scored efficiently in the paint. Look for Ja Morant and the Grizzlies to win closer to an 8-10 point margin.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

My favorite prop bet of the night is to take Ja Morant to have a big game scoring the ball. Morant’s ability to attack the basket gives him a favorable matchup with San Antonio. I expect Morant to surpass his season average of 25 points. Note: You’re wasting money if you’re still betting on games at -110 odds! Did you know that there are sportsbooks out there (better ones than yours!) that offer you the ability to bet on games at -105 reduced odds? Read more about betting at reduced juice!