Miami Heat at NY Knicks Odds & Picks 2/25/22

by | Feb 25, 2022 | nba

Miami Heat (38-21 SU, 33-25-1 ATS) vs. New York Knicks (25-34 SU, 26-33-0 ATS)

When: Friday February 25 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, New York

TV: BSSUN

Point Spread: MIA -5.5 /NYK +5.5 (Opened at MIA -5.5 at EveryGame - Check out their deposit $25 get $50 free bonus offer! 200% bonus!)

Total: 211.0 (Opened at 213.5)

Money Line: Miami -195/New York 165

Power Rating: MIA -5.5

Probable Starting Lineups

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker, C Bam Adebayo

New York Knicks PG Alec Burks NOTE, SG Evan Fournier, SF R.J. Barrett Q, PF Julius Randle, C Mitchell Robinson

Key Injuries

Heat
Dewayne Dedmon: back (QUESTIONABLE) Tyler Herro: knee (QUESTIONABLE) Markieff Morris: neck (OUT) Victor Oladipo: knee (OUT)

Knicks
RJ Barrett: ankle (QUESTIONABLE) Nerlens Noel: knee (OUT) Derrick Rose: ankle (OUT) Kemba Walker: conditioning (OUT)

The Miami Heat travel to take on the New York Knicks in an Eastern Conference matchup. Tip off is set for 7:30 at Madison Square Garden.

Recent Form

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 38-21, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 19-14. Over their last five games, the Heat have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 112.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. The Heat have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 104.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 104.4. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Charlotte by a score of 111-107

The New York Knicks come into this game with an overall record of 25-34, placing them 12nd in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, New York has struggled in their 30 home contests, sitting at 13-17. Over the Knicks ‘ last five games, they have picked up just one win. During this stretch, New York is averaging 113.0 points per game, 8.0 points more than their season average of 105.1. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Knicks ‘ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 119.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 106.6. In the New York Knicks’ most recent game, the team fell to Brooklyn by a score of 111-106.

Individual Player Analysis

As Miami travels to take on the New York Knicks, the Heat’ leading scorer is Jimmy Butler. Through 40 games, Butler is averaging 21 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 48.0% of his games. Against the Knicks, Butler will need to be on top of his game as New York is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 38.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Julius Randle leads the Knicks in scoring, averaging 19 points across his 57 games. Throughout the season, Randle has outscored his season average in 51.0% of his outings. On the season, the Heat have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 48.0% of their games, giving them a rank of 15th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Miami Heat are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 37 of Miami’s 59 games, leading to a winning percentage of 73%. So far, the New York Knicks have played 11 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 11 times, by an average margin of -14.0 points.

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The Historicals

So far, the Knicks and the Heat have met up for just one game, with Miami picking up the win in game one.

How the Public is Betting the Heat vs Knicks

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.

55 % are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 211

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Heat are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
  • Heat are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Knicks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into this game, the Miami Heat have not only been one of the best teams in the NBA, but they are covering the spread at an above .500 rate. This includes when playing on the road where they have an ATS record of 19-13-1. On the other side, the Knicks are just 13-17 vs the spread at home. Look for New York to struggle vs a Miami defense that is the top-ranked unit in points in the paint allowed. I am taking the Heat to cover the spread. Bet your Miami/New York pick and ALL your NBA bets for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at BetNow Sportsbook! It’s the biggest real cash bonus from a legit sportsbook on the web!