Phoenix Suns at Brooklyn Nets Prediction ATS 11/27/21

by | Nov 27, 2021 | nba

Phoenix Suns (16-3 SU, 10-9 ATS) vs. Brooklyn Nets (14-5 SU, 8-10-1 ATS)

When: Saturday November 27 2021, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Barclays Center: Brookyln, New York

TV: YES Network

Point Spread: PHX 3.0/BK -3.0 (Opened at BK -2.5 at BAS, where you only have to lay -105 odds on sides and totals instead of -110!)

Total: 219.0 (Opened at 219)

Money Line: Phoenix 115/Brooklyn -135

Power Rating: BRO -6

Probable Starting Lineups

Suns: PG Chris Paul, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton

Nets: PG James Harden, SG Patty Mils, SF Bruce Brown, PF Kevin Durant, C LaMarcus Aldridge

Key Injuries

Frank Kaminsky: knee (OUT) Abdel Nader: knee (QUESTIONABLE) Dario Saric: knee (OUT)

Bruce Brown: hamstring (QUESTIONABLE) Nicolas Claxton: illness (QUESTIONABLE) Joe Harris: ankle (OUT) Kyrie Irving: personal (OUT)

Recent Form

The Phoenix Suns enter today’s game amid a 15 game winning streak. When playing away from home, the Suns are an above .500 team, having gone 8-1. As the road team, the Suns travel to Brooklyn with a positive plus-minus rating of 7.8 points. Overall, the Suns are ranked 3rd among NBA teams in point differential (5.5). Among NBA teams, they have played the 26th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Phoenix Suns to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they are covering the spread in 52.60% of their games.
Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 1.8.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SG Devin Booker. So far, Booker is averaging 23.58 points per game, this output places him 2nd among shooting guards. Booker is also the team’s leading three-point shooter, hitting 2.42 threes per game. JaVale McGee has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 7.11 boards per game.

The Brooklyn Nets enter today’s game, having won 4 straight games.
In their past 10 contests, the Nets have played at an above .500 rate, going 8-2. For the season, they have played the 21st toughest schedule.
As they get set to host the Suns, Brooklyn has a positive home plus-minus of 2.3 points. Overall the Nets are ranked 5th among NBA teams in point differential (4.8).

For bettors, taking the Brooklyn Nets to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they are covering the spread in 44.40% of their games.
Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is -1.2.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SF Kevin Durant. So far, Durant is averaging 28.06 points per game. The Nets’ best three-point shooter has been Patty Mills, connecting on 3.21 shots from downtown per game. James Harden has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 7.58 boards per game.

An Eye On Pace

As opposed to last season in which the Suns were one of the slowest-paced teams in the NBA, this year’s team is ranked 4th in possessions per game. Look for this to be an up-tempo game as the Nets are the 10th ranked team in pace. These increased number of possessions have helped both teams rank in the top 10 in offensive efficiency.

Key Matchup

On offense, the Phoenix Suns are just the 24th ranked team in 3-pointers attempted per game. Instead, the team opts to work the ball inside and generate high percentage shots. So far, they are hitting 57% of their 2-point field goal attempts. Brooklyn is on the other side of the spectrum, preferring to take advantage of the three-point shot as they are the number one team in the NBA in 3-point shooting percentage.

The Historicals

These two teams met up for two contests last year, with the Nets winning both games. In both meetings, Brooklyn scored exactly 128 points. The widest margin of victory came in game one, with the Nets winning by a score 128-119.

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How the Public is Betting the Suns vs. Nets

54% are betting the Suns against the spread.

92% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 221.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Suns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Nets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite.
  • Nets are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

This matchup between the Suns and Nets is set to be the best game on Saturday night’s slate. With their 15 game winning streak, the Suns have climbed up the Western Conference standings and are just 1 game behind the Warriors for the top spot. On the other side, Brooklyn holds a 1.5 game lead over the Chicago Bulls. As well as Phoenix has played, they have a lot of factors working against them. Tonight’s game will be their second game in two days and part of a 4 game road trip. The Nets will be the more rested team, having not played since Wednesday night vs. Boston. Look for the Nets to take care of business at home and snap the Suns 15 game win streak.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

My favorite prop bet of the night is to take Kevin Durant to go over his point total. Although the Suns are an excellent defensive team, like most teams, they don’t have an individual player with the defensive ability to frustrate Durant. Look for the Nets to star to surpass 30 points in this contest. Note: Don’t forget to check out our Week 12 NFL football picks!