Portland Blazers vs. Los Angeles Clippers Predictions 11/9/21

by | Nov 9, 2021 | nba

Portland Blazers (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS)
When: Tuesday November 09 2021, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Staples Center: Los Angeles, California
TV: TNT

Point Spread: POR 3.0/LAC -3.0 (Opened at LAC -3)
Total: 221.0 (Opened at 221 )
Money Line: Portland 120/Los Angeles -143
Power Rating: Clippers -6
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Probable Starting Lineups

Trail Blazers: PG Damian Lillard, SG CJ McCollum, SF Norman Powell, PF Robert Covington, C Jusuf Nurkic

Clippers: PG Reggie Jackson, SG Eric Bledsoe, SF Paul George, PF Nicolas Batum, C Ivica Zubac

Key Injuries

Blazers
No Reported Injuries

Clippers
Serge Ibaka: back (PROBABLE) Kawhi Leonard: knee (OUT) Marcus Morris Sr.: knee (OUT) Jason Preston: foot (OUT)

Recent Form

The Portland Blazers enter today’s game, having won 2 straight games. In their past ten contests, the Blazers have played above .500 basketball, going 5-5.

As the road team, the Blazers travel to Los Angeles with a negative plus-minus of rating -13.8 points. Overall the Blazers are ranked 10th among NBA teams in point differential (1.6). Among NBA teams, they have played the 14th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Portland Blazers to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they cover the spread in 40.00% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is -0.5.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SG CJ McCollum. So far, McCollum is averaging 22.1 points per game. This output places him 6th in his position group.

McCollum has also been the team’s best three-point shooter, connecting on 3.9 shots from downtown per game. Jusuf Nurkic has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 11.9 boards per game.

The Los Angeles Clippers enter today’s game, having won 4 straight games. In their past nine contests, the Clippers have played at an above .500 rate, going 5-4. This has come while playing the 25th toughest schedule.

As they get set to host the Blazers, Los Angeles has a favorable home plus-minus of 6.0 points. Overall the Clippers are ranked 6th among NBA teams in point differential (5.7).

For bettors, taking the Portland Blazers to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they are covering the spread in 55.60% of their games.
Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 1.0.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SF Paul George. So far, George is averaging 27.0 points per game. George has also been the team’s best three-point shooter and rebounder, making 3.22 shots from deep and grabbing 8.22 boards per game.

An Eye On Pace

A key matchup in this game will be seeing how Portland responds to the Clippers’ up-tempo style of play. Last year, LA was the slowest-paced team in the league. But, to start the season, they have shifted to the opposite end of the spectrum. This change should actually benefit Portland, who also prefers to play at a fast pace. On average, the Trail Blazers win 62% of their games vs. fast-paced teams.

Offensive Impact

Both the Clippers and Blazers are among the NBA leaders in offensive efficiency, and this should play out in favor of the Clippers, who will be facing off with one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. On average, their offense scores 7 points above expectation vs. bad defensive units, leading to a win percentage of 70%.

In the cases when Portland plays quality defenses, they too score at a rate above the league average. However, their win percentage is just 38%. On average, they win these games just 38% of the time.

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The Historicals

In the 2020-2021 season, the Clippers took the season series with Portland 3-0. Combined, Los Angeles outscored the Blazers 374-333. The largest margin of victory came in game 1, with LA winning 128-105.

How the Public is Betting the Trail Blazers vs. Clippers

52% are betting the Blazers against the spread.

63% are wagering on the game to go under the posted total of 220.5.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
  • Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
  • The Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last four overall.
  • Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in Los Angeles.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

In this game, I recommend taking the Clippers to cover the spread of 3 points. Los Angeles is one of the few teams in the NBA that pair offensive efficiency with strong defensive effort. This season, LA has done a good job defending home court. I see this continuing with a big win over Portland. I also like this game to go over its point total. Take the over unless it creeps up to 222.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

My favorite prop bet of the night is taking Damian Lillard to go over his point total of 25.5 points. With this game likely going over 220.5, Lillard should benefit the most from a high-scoring game. Bet your NBA picks FREE this week by taking advantage of a 50% REAL CASH bonus on you first deposit of $50 to $500 at Bovada Sportsbook! These guys offer the absolute BEST live betting platform on the web, rebates on ALL your bets; win, lose or draw AND the fastest Bitcoin payouts on the web! They can also get credit cards to work for depositing! Click here to see why they’re one of the Top 3 sportsbooks on the web!