Spurs vs. Mavericks Picks & Predictions

by | Apr 10, 2022 | nba

San Antonio Spurs (34-47 SU, 43-37-1 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (51-30 SU, 47-33-1 ATS)

When: Sunday April 10 2022, 09:30 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas Texas

TV: CW35

Point Spread: SAS +10.5/DAL -10.5 (Opened DAL -9 at Everygame - Check out their 200% bonus on your $25 deposit!)

Total: 224.5 (Opened at 224.5)

Money Line: San Antonio 418/Dallas -578

Power Rating: DAL -9

Probable Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs PG Tre Jones, SG Joshua Primo, SF Josh Richardson, PF Keita Bates-Diop, C Zach Collins

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic IN, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Key Injuries

San Antonio Spurs
Romeo Langford: Hamstring (PROBABLE)
Jock Landale: Foot (PROBABLE)
Lonnie Walker IV: Back (PROBABLE)
Jakob Poeltl: Back (OUT)
Devin Vassell: Heel (OUT)
Keldon Johnson: Knee (OUT)
Dejounte Murray: Illness (OUT)
Doug McDermott: Nose (OUT)

Dallas Mavericks
Luka Doncic: Suspension (PROBABLE)
Frank Ntilikina: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
Marquese Chriss: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
Maxi Kleber: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

The Dallas Mavericks host the San Antonio Spurs in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center.

Recent Form

The San Antonio Spurs come into this game with an overall record of 34-47, placing them 10th in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, San Antonio has struggled in their 40 road contests, sitting at 18-22. Over their last five games, the Spurs have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, San Antonio’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 115.0 points per game. Combined, the Spurs’ last five opponents are giving up 112.0 points per contest. San Antonio comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 105.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 112.8. In the San Antonio Spurs’ most recent game, the team fell to Golden State by a score of 100-94.

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 51-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 at home, holding a record of 28-12. The Mavericks have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Dallas is averaging 120.0 points per game, 12.0 points more than their season average of 107.8. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. Even though the Mavericks have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 110.0 points per game, up from Dallas’s usual rate of 104.5. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, Dallas took down Portland by a score of 128-78.

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Individual Player Analysis

As San Antonio travels to take on the Dallas Mavericks, the Spurs’ will be looking for another big night from Lonnie Walker, who had 24 points in a loss to Golden State. Against the Mavericks, Walker will need to be on top of his game as Dallas is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 43.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring, averaging 28 points across his 66 games. Throughout the season, Doncic has outscored his season average in 42.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Doncic will need to do so against a Spurs defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 29.69%. This figure is good for a rank of 0th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Dallas Mavericks are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 21 of Dallas’s 79 games, leading to a winning percentage of 67%. So far, the San Antonio Spurs have played 13 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 13 times, by an average margin of -12.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Dallas picked up a 123-109 win.

How the Public is Betting the Spurs vs Mavericks

67% are betting the Mavs against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 224.5

More Picks: Golden State at New Orleans 4/10/22 Pick ATS

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The San Antonio Spurs will be capping off regular season play looking to build some positive momentum as they prepare for the 9/10 play-in game. Heading into today’s matchup with Orlando, the Spurs have lost 2 straight games. On the other side, the Dallas Mavericks have an opportunity to move up the 3 seed in the West if they can pick up a win over San Antonio, and Golden State drops their final game. With the spread sitting 10.5 points in favor of the Mavericks, I fully expect them to take down the Spurs, and given that San Antonio is playing on back-to-back nights, without their leading scorer, look for Dallas to cover. With the NBA not having any games tomorrow, we encourage you to spend that extra time learning about the value of betting on games at reduced vig! It’ll change the way you wager on sports FOREVER!