Spurs vs. Rockets Odds, Trends, Prediction 12/19/22

by | Dec 19, 2022 | nba

San Antonio Spurs (9-20 SU, 12-17-0 ATS) vs. Houston Rockets (9-20 SU, 13-14-2 ATS)

When: Monday, December 19th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Toyota Center, TX, Houston

TV: BSSW

Point Spread: SA +4/ HOU -4

Total: 227.0

Money Line: San Antonio Spurs +144/ -176

Notable Injuries

Spurs

  • Josh Richardson (Out) Personal
  • Romeo Langford (Questionable) Ankle
  • Keldon Johnson (Questionable) Lower Back
  • Blake Wesley (Out) Knee

Rockets

  • Jae’Sean Tate (Out) Ankle
  • Garrison Mathews (Out) Illness

Recent Form

Heading into the game, San Antonio is 9-20 overall. When taking to the road, San Antonio has a mark of 4-8 and a win percentage of 33%. Currently, the team is NA in the Western Conference. So far, they are 12-17-0 vs. the spread. San Antonio travels to take on the Rockets, hoping to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

Most recently, San Antonio lost to the Heat by a score of 111-101. Keldon Johnson and his 22 were not enough for the team to pull out a win as 8-point underdogs. The Spurs also finished with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Houston is 9-20 overall. When playing at home, Houston has a mark of 6-7 and a win percentage of 46%. Currently, the team is NA in the Western Conference. So far, they are 13-14-2 vs. the spread. The Rockets need a win in today’s matchup vs. San Antonio to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their most recent game, Houston was unable to come home with a victory against the Trail Blazers, losing by a score of 107-95. Despite Jalen Green leading the team with 15 points, the Rockets were unable to overcome their status as 3-point underdogs. The Rockets also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Spurs picked up the win 118-109 win over the Rockets. Heading into the game, San Antonio was a +1 underdog, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. The ATS record across the previous five head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Spurs. In these matchups, San Antonio has averaged 126 points per game while allowing 113. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-1. Combined, they averaged 239 points in these games.

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Analysis

For the season, San Antonio is averaging just 109.9 points per game, which is 26th in the league. This below-average production has come despite being one of the faster paced teams in the NBA (12th). San Antonio’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 34.1% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.3 3-point shots per game, placing them 15th in the NBA. The defense has been an issue for San Antonio, as they are currently allowing 113.04 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.84% of their looks from deep, placing the Spurs 20th in the NBA.

Heading into the game, Keldon Johnson is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 21.1. Currently, Devin Vassell is 2nd on the team in scoring at 19.8 points per game.

Coming into the game, Houston’s offense is ranked just 27th in scoring at 109.7 points per game. This has come while being the 18th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Rockets are averaging 99.1 possessions per contest. The Rockets have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 25th in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 34.6 attempts per game. The defense has been a struggle for Houston, as they are currently allowing 118.2 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.03% of their looks from deep, placing the Rockets 14th in the NBA.

Going into today’s game, Jalen Green is the leading scorer for the Houston team with an average of 21.6 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 41.3%. The team’s second top scorer is Kevin Porter Jr., who is averaging 18.6 points per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Spurs are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games playing on one day’s rest.
  • Spurs are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
  • The Rockets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
  • The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

I’ve enjoyed some really good success this season betting on and against the Rockets. Houston is playing really undiscplined right now. Spurs teams are usually really smart and disciplined. The Spurs just beat the Rockets handily six games ago. I’m happy to be getting +3.5 here with San Antonio as I think they win this game straight up.