Suns vs. Mavs Game 4 Betting Predictions

by | May 8, 2022 | nba

Phoenix Suns (70-21 SU, 50-41-0 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (57-34 SU, 53-36-2 ATS)

When: Sunday May 08 2022, 03:30 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas Texas

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: PHX -2/DAL +2 (Opened PHX -3 at BetNow - Bet your picks for FREE today by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM)

Total: 215 (Opened at 214.5)

Money Line: Phoenix Suns -130/Dallas Mavericks 108

Power Rating: PHX -3

Probable Starting Lineups

Phoenix Suns PG Chris Paul, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Key Injuries

Phoenix Suns
Torrey Craig: Elbow (QUESTIONABLE)
Dario Saric: Knee (OUT)

Dallas Mavericks
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

The Dallas Mavericks host the Phoenix Suns in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 03:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center.

Recent Form

The Phoenix Suns come into this game with an overall record of 64-18, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far, Phoenix is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 34-11. Over their last five games, the Suns have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Phoenix’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 114.0 points per game. Combined, the Suns’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. The Suns have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 107.5. In the Phoenix Suns’ most recent game, the team fell to Dallas by a score of 103-94.

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 52-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 at home, holding a record of 32-13. The Mavericks have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 105.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. The Mavericks have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 103.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 104.7. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, Dallas took down Phoenix by a score of 103-94.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Phoenix travels to take on the Dallas Mavericks, the Suns’ leading scorer is Devin Booker. Through 79 games, Booker is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 48.0% of his games. So far, the Mavericks are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.72% of their games, placing them 18th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring, averaging 28 points across his 67 games. Throughout the season, Doncic has outscored his season average in 42.0% of his outings. Given that Phoenix’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Luka Doncic should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Suns have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.52% of their games, giving them a rank of 26th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Phoenix Suns are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 35 of Phoenix’s 41 games, leading to a winning percentage of 83%. So far, the Dallas Mavericks have played 45 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 45 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks have met up for 6 games. In their last meeting, Dallas picked up a 103-94 win.

How the Public is Betting the Suns vs Mavericks

67% are betting the Suns against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 215

More Picks: Get Joe’s Point Spread Winner for Game 4 of the Heat vs. 76ers Series >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
  • Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Dallas Mavericks look to bring this series back to a tie at 2-2, as they picked up a game 3 win over the Suns. In the contest, Jalen Brunson and Luka Doncic carried the scoring load, with 28 and 26 points apiece. Dallas has to feel good heading into game 4, as they were able to beat the Suns without having a strong shooting night from outside. In the game, they hit only 33% of their 3’s compared to Phoenix at 46%. Look for Dallas to once again hold the advantage in the paint, as they cover the spread in game 4. Note: If you bust out your bankroll, don’t re-deposit and get NOTHING. Maximize your betting dollar by grabbing a 100% bonus from one of many top tier bookies on our sportsbook bonuses page!