Heat vs. 76ers Betting Analysis & Free Pick ATS

by | May 8, 2022 | nba

Miami Heat (59-31 SU, 51-38-1 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (56-35 SU, 43-47-1 ATS)
When: Sunday May 08 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)
Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
TV: TNT

Point Spread: MIA +1.5/PHI -1.5 (Opened PHI -2.5 at WagerWeb - Offers 20 point NBA teasers!)
Total: 207.5 (Opened at 206.5)
Money Line: Miami 104/Philadelphia -124
Power Rating: PHI -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Philadelphia 76ers PG James Harden, SG Tyrese Maxey, SF Danny Green, PF Tobias Harris, C Joel Embiid

Miami Heat PG Gabe Vincent, SG Max Strus P, SF Jimmy Butler P, PF P.J. Tucker P, C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

Miami Heat
Gabe Vincent: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Max Strus: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)
P.J. Tucker: Calf (QUESTIONABLE)
Caleb Martin: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Tyler Herro: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Dewayne Dedmon: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
Kyle Lowry: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)

Philadelphia 76ers
Isaiah Joe: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Joel Embiid: Face (QUESTIONABLE)

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Miami Heat in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center.

Recent Form

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 25-19. Over their last five games, the Heat have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 102.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. Miami comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 95.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 104.9. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, the team fell to Philadelphia by a score of 99-79.

The Philadelphia 76ers come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Philadelphia is above .500 at home, holding a record of 27-18. Over the 76ers’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Philadelphia’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 103.0 points per game. Combined, the 76ers’ last five opponents are giving up 106.0 points per contest. Even though the 76ers have struggled of late, they have shown improvements on the defensive end of the court, giving up just 101.0 points per game over their last five contests. This number is down from their season average of 106.9. In the Philadelphia 76ers’ most recent game, Philadelphia took down Miami by a score of 99-79.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Miami travels to take on the Philadelphia 76ers, the Heat’s leading scorer is Jimmy Butler. Through 58 games, Butler is averaging 21 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 50.0% of his games. Against the 76ers, Butler will need to be on top of his game as Philadelphia is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 48.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Joel Embiid leads the 76ers in scoring, averaging 30 points across his 71 games. Throughout the season, Embiid has outscored his season average in 52.0% of his outings. On the season, the Heat have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, giving them a rank of 14th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The 76ers come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.3 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Philadelphia is winning at a rate of 69%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 11.0 points. On the other side, the Heat hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 37 games as the better defensive team, picking up 22 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers have met up for 7 games. In their last meeting, Philadelphia picked up a 99-79 win.

How the Public is Betting the Heat vs 76ers

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 207.5

Get Joe’s Suns vs. Mavs Predicted Game 4 Spread Winner >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 8 games
  • Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
  • Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Philadelphia 76ers have an opportunity to even the series at 2-2, after it appears that Miami would quickly punch their ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals. In game 3, the Sixers ratcheted up their defense, holding the Heat to just 79 points. For the contest, Miami hit just 35% of their shots, including 23% from downtown. Even though I don’t see the Sixers nearly going 50% from outside, look for the Sixers to cover the spread in game 4. Question: When you bet NBA games, are you laying -110 odds? There’s a 99.9% chance the answer is YES. Did you know that you could be laying only -105? Cutting your vig in half will save you a TON of money and trumps ANY signup bonus you can get! Make the switch TODAY to BetanySports! You’ll be so glad you did!