Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Trends, Predictions

by | Nov 28, 2022 | nba

Oklahoma City Thunder (8-12 SU, 15-5-0 ATS) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (11-8 SU, 10-9-0 ATS)
When: Monday, November 28th, 8:00 PM (ET)
Where: Smoothie King Center, LA, New Orleans
TV: BSNO

Point Spread: OKC +4/ NO -4
Total: nan
Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder +148/ -182

Notable Injuries

Thunder

  • Mike Muscala (Out) Finger
  • Chet Holmgren (Out) Foot

Pelicans

  • CJ McCollum (Out) Health Protocols
  • Larry Nance Jr. (Questionable) Shoulder
  • Brandon Ingram (Doubtful) Toe
  • Kira Lewis Jr. (Out) Knee
  • Naji Marshall (Questionable) Illness
  • EJ Liddell (Out) Knee

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Oklahoma City is 8-12 overall. When taking to the road, Oklahoma City has a mark of 3-7 and a win percentage of 30.0%. Currently, the team is 12th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 15-5-0 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 1-4 in their past five games and 1-4 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS.

Oklahoma City most recently lost to the Rockets by a score of 118-105. The team high 32 points from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander were not enough to come away with the win. The Thunder were 2 point favorites going into the game.

Heading into the game, New Orleans is 11-8 overall. When playing at home, New Orleans has a mark of 6-3 and a win percentage of 67%. Currently, the team is 4th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 10-9-0 vs. the spread. In New Orleans’ last five games, the Pelicans have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 6-4 and 6-4 ATS.

New Orleans most recently lost to Grizzlies by a score of 132-111. The team high 21 points from Trey Murphy III was not enough to come home with the win. The Pelicans were 2-point favorites going into the game.

The Historicals

The Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans will be playing for the first time this season. Last year, they met up 3 times, with the Thunder taking 2 of the three games. In the most recent matchup, the Thunder won by a score of 117-112. Going into the game, the team was +1.5 point underdogs. The over-under line was 212.5, which the team’s surpassed.

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Analysis

On offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder are 6th in the NBA in scoring at 116.6 points per contest. Key to the team’s offensive game plan is getting up and down the court, as they lead the league in shot attempts per game. However, they are just 19th in overall field goal percentage at 53.7%. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the team’s leading scorer at 31 points per contest to go along with 4.8 rebounds and six assists. Behind him, Luguentz Dort is adding 13.7 points per game to the team.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been good on offense this year, ranking 4th in points scored per game (117). Key to their strong offensive numbers is their ability to knock down the 3-point shot. For the season, the Pelicans are 5th in 3-point shooting percentage (38%). In terms of personnel, CJ McCollum is already listed as out for the game. This means Zion Williamson will be asked to take on a bigger role. So far, he is averaging six rebounds and averaging 18.7 points per game.

More Picks: Get our Bulls vs. Jazz analysis and free pick ATS for their 11/28/22 game

Betting Trends

  • Thunder are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Thunder are 33-15 ATS in their last 48 road games.
  • Pelicans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six Monday games.
  • Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Pels have had multiple key players in and out of the lineup lately. Basketball is a game of chemistry, and playing with different lineups creates issues. The bookies know this, too, as evidenced by the suspiciously low point spread. I’m betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder with confidence Monday night!