Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Odds, Trends, Prediction

by | Dec 23, 2022 | nba

Portland Trail Blazers (17-15 SU, 20-12-0 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (19-11 SU, 13-17-0 ATS)
When: Friday, December 23rd, 9:00 PM (ET)
Where: Ball Arena, CO, Denver
TV: ALT

Point Spread: POR +5/ DEN -5 (Did you know that you could be betting on games at -105 instead of -110? This is SUPER important as it lowers your breakeven percentage! Find this huge money saving offer at BetAnySports!)
Total: 234.5
Money Line: Portland Trail Blazers +163/ -200

Notable Injuries

Trail Blazers

  • Damian Lillard (Probable) Wrist
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Probable) Calf
  • Justise Winslow (Doubtful) Ankle
  • Gary Payton II (Out) Abdomen
  • Josh Hart (Probable) Ankle
  • Drew Eubanks (Probable) Hip
  • Nassir Little (Out) Hip

Nuggets

  • Jeff Green (Probable) Back
  • Jamal Murray (Questionable) Ankle
  • Michael Porter Jr. (Questionable) Heel
  • Collin Gillespie (Out) Lower Leg

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Portland is 17-15 overall. When taking to the road, Portland has a mark of 10-9 and a win percentage of 53%. Currently, the team is 8th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 20-12-0 vs. the spread. Portland travels to take on the Nuggets, hoping to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their last game, Portland was defeated by the Thunder with a score of 101-98. Despite Jerami Grant scoring 17 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Trail Blazers were 3-point favorites.

Heading into the game, Denver is 19-11 overall. When playing at home, Denver has a mark of 10-3 and a win percentage of 77%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 13-17-0 vs. the spread. Denver will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Portland as they are the winners of 2 straight games.

After their win against the Grizzlies, Denver will be looking to continue their momentum. Aaron Gordon had a big game, scoring 24 points to help lead the team to victory. As 1-point underdogs on the spread, the Nuggets were able to come home with an ATS win

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Trail Blazers picked up the win 135-110 win over the Nuggets. Heading into the game, Portland was the 5.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. When looking at how these teams have performed vs. the spread in recent matchups, the Trail Blazers have an ATS mark of 3-2. Yet, the Nuggets have averaged more points per game in these contests, at 119 compared to Denver at 114. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-1. Combined, they averaged 233 points in these games.

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Analysis

This season, the Trail Blazers’ offense averages 112.1 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Portland has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 97.1 possessions per game. Portland’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.9% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.2 3-point shots per game, placing them 15th in the NBA. On defense, Portland is currently allowing 115.11 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.95% of their looks from the outside.

Anfernee Simons is the top scorer for the Trail Blazers, averaging 22.8 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 44.6%. Jerami Grant is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 21.8 points per game.

For the season, Denver has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 115.4 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 98.6 possessions per contest. Denver has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 2nd in 3-point shooting percentage at 38.7%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.1 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets allow an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.

Nikola Jokic is the top scorer for the Nuggets, with an average of 24.7 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 61.7%. Aaron Gordon is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 17.3 points per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.
  • Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
  • Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Nuggets are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight-up win.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Blazers have played the Nuggets tough this season. They’re playing good ball right now as well. I’m taking the points with Portland tonight! Bet your sports picks for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $300 by entering promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!)