Warriors vs. Heat Point Spread Picks & Predictions

by | Mar 23, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (47-25 SU, 35-33-4 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (47-25 SU, 40-31-1 ATS)

When: Wednesday March 23 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

TV: NBCSBA

Point Spread: GSW +7/MIA -7 (Opened MIA -7.5 at WagerWeb - Offers 20 point basketball teasers!)

Total: 213.5 (Opened at 218)

Money Line: Golden State 227/Miami -281

Power Rating: MIA -8

Probable Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors PG Jordan Poole, SG Andrew Wiggins, SF Jonathan Kuminga, PF Draymond Green Q, C Kevon Looney

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Jimmy Butler Q, PF P.J. Tucker, C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors
Andre Iguodala: Back (OUT)
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)
Stephen Curry: Foot (OUT)

Miami Heat
Jimmy Butler: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Gabe Vincent: Toe (OUT)
Victor Oladipo: Back (QUESTIONABLE)

The Miami Heat host the Golden State Warriors in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 47-25, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 18-16. Over the Warriors’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Golden State’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 107.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Warriors are allowing an average of 107.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 105.0. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, the team fell to Orlando by a score of 94-90.

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 47-25, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 26-9. The Heat have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 110.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. The Heat have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 107.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 104.9. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, the team fell to Philadelphia by a score of 113-106.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Golden State travels to take on the Miami Heat, they will be looking for Klay Thompson to carry the scoring load, as Steph Curry is out with a foot injury. So far, the Heat are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.27% of their games, placing them 12nd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 50 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 48.0% of his outings. Given that Golden State’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Jimmy Butler should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Warriors have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 55.74% of their games, giving them a rank of 27th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Heat come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 109.5 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Miami is winning at a rate of 79%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 11.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 33 games as the better defensive team, picking up 18 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Golden State Warriors and Miami Heat have met up for 1 game. Golden State took game one by a score of 115-108.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs Heat

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 214.5

More Picks: Get Joe’s Jazz at Celtics Prediction ATS 3/23/22 >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
  • Heat are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Heat are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss

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Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Golden State Warriors come into this game in the unenviable position of taking on the Eastern Conference’s top seed while playing on back-to-back nights. To make matters worse, they are coming off a disappointing loss to Orlando. In addition, they will be without their top player in Steph Curry, who is recovering from a foot injury. On the other side, keep an eye on the status of Jimmy Butler, who is questionable with an ankle injury. Look for Miami to pile on to Golden State’s woes, picking up the win and covering the spread. Bet your Warriors vs. Heat pick and ALL your basketball wagers for free this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100).