Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Odds & Predictions 3/7/22

by | Last updated Mar 7, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (43-21 SU, 30-30-4 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (38-26 SU, 31-33-0 ATS)

When: Monday March 07 2022, 09:00 PM (ET)

Where: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado


Point Spread: GSW +9.5/DEN -9.5 (Bet on games at -105 odds instead of -110)

Total: 223.5 (Opened at 223.5)

Money Line: Golden State Warriors +348/Denver Nuggets -455

Power Rating: DEN -12

Probable Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors PG Jordan Poole, SG Moses Moody, SF Otto Porter, PF Jonathan Kuminga, C Kevon Looney

Denver Nuggets PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton Q, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green, C Nikola Jokic

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors
Andrew Wiggins: Rest (Out)
Klay Thompson: Rest (Out)
Steph Curry Rest: (Out)
Andre Iguodala: Rest (Out)
Draymond Green: Rest (Out)

Denver Nuggets
Michael Porter Jr. Back (Out)
Jamal Murray Knee (Out)

The Denver Nuggets host the Golden State Warriors in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:00 PM ET at the Ball Arena.

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 43-21, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 17-14. Over the Warriors’ last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. During this stretch, Golden State is averaging 115.0 points per game, 4.0 points more than their season average of 111.0. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. A key reason for Golden State’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 115.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 104.6. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, the team fell to the LA Lakers by a score of 124-116.

The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 38-26, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 at home, holding a record of 19-11. The Nuggets have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 120.0 points per game, 9.0 points more than their season average of 111.0. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 113.0 points per contest. The Nuggets have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 110.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 108.0. In the Denver Nuggets’ most recent game, Denver took down New Orleans by a score of 138-130.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Golden State travels to take on the Denver Nuggets, the Warriors’ leading scorer is Stephen Curry. Through 59 games, Curry is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 46.0% of his games. So far, the Nuggets are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 43.14% of their games, placing them 11th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 57 games. Throughout the season, Jokic has outscored his season average in 49.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Jokic will need to do so against a Warriors defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 41.82%. This figure is good for a rank of 6th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Nuggets come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.0 per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Denver is winning at a rate of 71%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 15.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 31 games as the better defensive team, picking up 17 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Denver picked up a 117-116 win.

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How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs Nuggets

88% are betting the Warriors against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 212.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Warriors are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Nuggets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into this matchup, the Golden State Warriors are looking to rest a majority of their key players. On the other side, Denver has won 8 of their last 10 games, including two straight. Look for the Nuggets to run away with this contest, easily covering the spread. Bet your Golden St./Denver pick and ALL your NBA predictions for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook!