Warriors vs. Nuggets Game 4 Betting Predictions

by | Apr 24, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (56-29 SU, 44-37-4 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (48-37 SU, 37-48-0 ATS)

When: Sunday April 24 2022, 03:30 PM (ET)

Where: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado

TV: ABC

Point Spread: GSW -4.5/DEN +4.5 (Opened GSW -3.5 at Bovada - Check out their live betting platform! It’s INCREDIBLE!)

Total: 225 (Opened at 224)

Money Line: Golden St. -188/Denver 154

Power Rating: GSW -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors PG Jordan Poole, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

Denver Nuggets PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green, C Nikola Jokic

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)

Denver Nuggets
Michael Porter Jr.: Back (OUT)
Jamal Murray: Knee (OUT)

The Denver Nuggets host the Golden State Warriors in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 03:30 PM ET at the Ball Arena.

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 23-19. Over their last five games, the Warriors have played well, picking up 5 wins. During this stretch, Golden State is averaging 119.0 points per game, 8.0 points more than their season average of 111.4. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. The Warriors have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 105.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 105.6. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down Denver by a score of 118-113

The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 48-34, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 at home, holding a record of 23-19. Over the Nuggets’ last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 118.0 points per game, 5.0 points more than their season average of 112.6. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 108.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Nuggets’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 124.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 110.8. In the Denver Nuggets’ most recent game, the team fell to Golden State by a score of 118-113.

Individual Player Analysis

As Golden State travels to take on the Denver Nuggets, the Warriors’ leading scorer is Stephen Curry. Through 64 games, Curry is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 45.0% of his games. So far, the Nuggets are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.82% of their games, placing them 19th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring, averaging 27 points across his 75 games. Throughout the season, Jokic has outscored his season average in 41.0% of his outings. Given that Golden State’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Nikola Jokic should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Warriors have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.03% of their games, giving them a rank of 25th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Nuggets come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 111.3 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Denver is winning at a rate of 61%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 13.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 40 games as the better defensive team, picking up 21 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets have met up for 7 games. In their last meeting, Golden State picked up a 118-113 win.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs Nuggets

67% are betting the Warriors against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 225

More Picks: Miami at Atlanta Game 4 Betting Analysis & Pick ATS >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 home games.
  • Nuggets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Golden State Warriors come into this matchup with an opportunity to be the first team to punch their ticket into the second round. In their last game, Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, and Jordan Poole, combined for 79 of the team’s 118 points. This strong offensive performance helped Golden State overcome the Nuggets hitting 50% of their shots and 42% of their three-point field goal attempts. In game 3, it appeared the Nuggets gave Golden State their best shot, but it still wasn’t enough to pick up the win. With an opportunity to close out the series, look for the Warriors to cover the spread as the 4.5-point favorites. Note: A ton of NBA bettors have gotten crushed by all the insane results from round one. Instead of re-depositing at your book and getting NOTHING, consider grabbing a 100% bonus from one of many of our top tier bookies on our sportsbook bonuses page!