Warriors vs. Spurs Picks & Predictions

by | Last updated Apr 9, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (51-29 SU, 40-36-4 ATS) vs. San Antonio Spurs (34-46 SU, 42-37-1 ATS)
When: Saturday April 09 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)
Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas

Point Spread: GSW -6.5/SAS +6.5 (Opened at GSW -6)
Total: 221.5 (Opened at 221.5)
Money Line: Golden State -270/San Antonio 218
Power Rating: GSW -7
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Probable Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors PG Jordan Poole, SG Moses Moody, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

San Antonio Spurs PG Tre Jones, SG Josh Richardson, SF Joshua Primo, PF Keita Bates-Diop, C Zach Collins

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors
Klay Thompson: Rest (OUT)
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)
Stephen Curry: Foot (OUT)

San Antonio Spurs
Jock Landale: Foot (PROBABLE)
Lonnie Walker IV: Back (PROBABLE)
Jakob Poeltl: Back (OUT)
Devin Vassell: Heel (OUT)
Keldon Johnson: Knee (OUT)
Dejounte Murray: Illness (OUT)
Doug McDermott: Nose (OUT)

The San Antonio Spurs host the Golden State Warriors in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:30 PM ET at the AT&T Center.

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 51-29, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 20-19. Over their last five games, the Warriors have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Golden State’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 109.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors’ last five opponents are giving up 111.0 points per contest. The Warriors have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 108.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 105.6. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down the LA Lakers by a score of 128-112

The San Antonio Spurs come into this game with an overall record of 34-46, placing them 10nd in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, San Antonio has struggled in their 40 home contests, sitting at 16-24. The Spurs have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, San Antonio is averaging 118.0 points per game, 5.0 points more than their season average of 113.3. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 113.0 points per contest. The Spurs come into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 108.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 113.0.In the San Antonio Spurs’ most recent game, the team fell to Minnesota by a score of 127-121.

Individual Player Analysis

As Golden State travels to take on the San Antonio Spurs, the Warriors’ will be looking for another big scoring night from Klay Thompson who dropped 33 points in their last game vs. the Lakers. Against the Spurs, Thompson will need to be on top of his game as San Antonio is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 27.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, the Spurs will still be without Dejounte Murray and will be looking for Keldon Johnson to continue his strong offensive play. Given that Golden State’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Johnson should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Warriors have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.61% of their games, giving them a rank of 20th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Spurs come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 109.1 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, San Antonio is winning at a rate of 58%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 17.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 38 games as the better defensive team, picking up 19 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Golden State Warriors and San Antonio Spurs have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, San Antonio picked up a 110-108 win.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs Spurs

67% are betting the Warriors against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 221.5

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Golden State Warriors come into this matchup with just 2 games remaining on their schedule. If they hope to lock in the 3rd seed in the West, they will need to pick up a win over San Antonio. Right behind Golden State is a streaking Mavericks team that has matched the Warriors’ streak of 3 straight wins. On the other side, the Spurs are a near lock for the 10 seed in the West, as they trail New Orleans by 2 games with just 2 games to play. In this matchup, I see the Spurs keeping this one within the 6.5 point margin as underdogs.