Carolina Panthers (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)
College Football Week 6
Date and Time: October 12th, at 1:00 PM EST
Where: Paul Brown Stadium
TV: FOX
by Jeff Hochman, Pro Football Handicapper, JHSportsline.com
Point Spread: CAR +6.5/CINN -6.5
Over/Under Total: 44
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The Cincinnati Bengals will look to bounce back from its only defeat when they travel to Carolina with a showdown against the Panthers. I think just about any team that went to New England in that spot would have lost that game. The Patriots had a huge chip on its shoulder and they were not going to be denied. The Bengals really looked flat coming off their BYE week and the Patriots started to prepare for them 30 minutes after losing to the Ravens. New England outgained the Patriots by a season-high 184 yards. The Bengals are just 2-2 ITS (in the stats) this season after going 10-6 ITS last year.
The Carolina Panthers defeated the Chicago Bears 31-24 as 1.5-point road favorites, despite getting outgained by 26 yards. Carolina has lost the stats in all but one game this season, the opening Week victory over Tampa Bay. I wasn’t a fan of this Panthers’ team before the season started and nothing has changed my mind since. The offensive line looks shaky and Panthers’ secondary has been awful in the red-zone. Carolina is also ranked No. 15 on Special Teams and what really hurts is that Carolina’s opponents average starting Field Position has been the 32 yard-line.
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The Bengals return to the comfy confines of home where they have rattled off 11 consecutive regular seasons wins and overs. A very strong angle will be in play and it worked like a charm when New England defeated the Bengals on MNF. NFL teams returning home from a blowout loss are cashing 67% ATS in their very next game. BYE weeks don’t count. Carolina had a lot of trouble with the physical style of play that the Ravens and Steelers like to employ. The Bengals are just as physical and should be able to win the line scrimmage rather easily. Check this out, teams returning home off a MNF blowout loss (21 or more points) are 10-2 SU and 9-3-1 ATS if the home teams is less than 7 points. The Bengals are by far the better team and should be focused at home after last week’s non-effort.
Cincinnati is coming off an embarrassing performance on Monday Night football. Carolina is still nicked up at several key spots. The Panthers running back situation is in dyer straits and the defense is worse with Tomas Davis not 100% and Greg Hardy still under suspension. In their last three games, the Panthers have allowed an average of 30.6 points per game and 418 total yards to the Ravens, Steelers, and Bears. On the flip side, the Bengals have allowed 16, 10, and 7 before the last week’s meltdown.
The Panthers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 6. The Benagls are 13-2 SU and 11-3 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last three seasons. The Bengals are 14-5 SU and 13-5 ATS in all home games over the last three years, including 8-1 SU and 8-1 ATS off a loss.
Jeff’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread:Cincinnati Bengals -6.5
Take the pissed off home team that is returning home after a blowout road loss.
