Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings Pick 11/22/20

by | Nov 18, 2020 | nfl

Dallas Cowboys (2-7 SU, 1-8 ATS) vs. Minnesota Vikings (4-5 SU, 6-3 ATS)

NFL Football Week 11

Date/Time: Sunday November 22nd, 2020. 4:25PM (EST)

Where: U.S. Bank Stadium Minneapolis, MN.

TV: FOX

Point Spread: DAL +7.5/MIN -7.5 (BAS - Best betting odds on the web! They allow their client to bet on games at -105 which saves you BIG money!)

Over/Under Total: 48

The Minnesota Vikings survived a close Monday Night affair against the Chicago Bears in route to a 19-13 victory. Despite opening the season 1-5 SU, the Vikings have renewed confidence on the heels of 3 straight wins over their NFC North rivals. On Sunday, the Vikings will have an excellent opportunity to extend their winning streak when they host the Dallas Cowboys at U.S. Bank Stadium. The visiting Cowboys are coming off a bye in the midst of a four-game losing streak since losing starting QB Dak Prescott to a season-ending injury. Luckily, the Cowboys will get backup Andy Dalton back this week, who missed the last two games with a concussion, which yields some hope. Still, America’s Team will be 7.5 point underdogs when they meet the Vikings in week 11.

Vikings 3-0 SU since Dalvin Cook’s return

Despite a slow start to the season, the Vikings offense was finding success before standout running back Davlin Cook went down with a groin injury that kept him sidelined for two weeks. Since returning in week 8, Cook has rushed for totals of 163, 206, and 96 while compiling six touchdowns to help the Vikings in their three-game win streak. Despite the lost time, Cook leads the NFL in rushing with 954 rushing yards. Clearly, the Vikings are a better offense when he is on the field, even with QB Kirk Cousins weekly inconsistent performances.

For Sunday’s meeting with the Cowboys, the Vikings will have the opportunity to rebound after a subpar offensive performance against the Bears. Luckily, the match-up is about as perfect as it gets. The Cowboys own the NFL’s worst scoring offense that has allowed a mind-boggling 32 points per game. To complicate matters for America’s Team, the defense’s biggest weakness has been their inability to stop the run. The Cowboys have given up 157 yards per game on the ground; only Houston has given up more yards per game. The defense has relinquished 5.0 yards per carry and has shown no signs of turning things around. As a result, this is another smash opportunity for Cook and the Vikings’ run-heavy attack, and I would also not be surprised if Cousins benefited as well from play-action to hit some passes down the field.

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QB Andy Dalton to start week 11

I mentioned previously that backup Andy Dalton has missed a couple of weeks after going through the concussion protocol. While Dalton’s return yields improvement behind center, we should also consider the fact that neither Dalton nor 3rd string rookie Ben Dinucci has played well. Dinucci barely completed 50% of his passes, and while Dalton’s completion percentage (61%) is better, he has thrown just one touchdown and three picks on the season. The loss of a true passing threat has also made things extremely difficult for star running back Ezekiel Elliott. Elliott is having his worst season on record with just 572 yards through 9 games. Personally, I thought the Cowboys would ride Zeke in a big way once Prescott went down. However, Head Coach Mike McCarthy has not shared that thought process as the Cowboys starter has received useless touch totals of 12, 12, 19, and 18 in the four games since Prescott went down. Therefore, I am not sure the Cowboys have any answers on offense unless they made significant behind the scenes changes during the bye week.

Cowboys vs. Vikings Betting Trends

  • The Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in the last nine games
  • The Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in the last six road games
  • The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in the last five games against the Vikings.
  • The Cowboys have hit the “under” in 4 of the last five games
  • The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in the last seven games
  • The Vikings are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games against Dallas.
  • The Vikings have hit the “over” in their last five home games

Jay’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: The trends above really paint a clear picture to steer clear of the Cowboys this season. More importantly, this is just a terrible match-up for Dallas on paper. I will stick with the highly probable play here and lay the points. Take Minnesota -7.5. Bet the Vikings for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! Must use bonus code PREDICT100 to get the special bonus!

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