Dallas Cowboys(7-7SU,8-6 ATS) vs.Washington Redskins(3-11SU,4-10 ATS)
NFL Week 16
Date and Time:December 22, 1:00 PM E
Where: FedEx Field
TV: FOX
by JeffHochman, Pro Handicapper, JHSportsline.com
Point Spread:Dal -3/WASH +3
Over/Under Total: 54
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The Washington Redskins switch to Quarterback Kirk Cousins nearly paid off in last week’s 27-26 loss at Atlanta when MikeShanahanopted to go for two points and the win at the end, a game in which the Redskins dominated in the stats, 476-243. Washington easily covered the 5.5-point spread. The Dallas Cowboys had anothermeltdownin last week’s 1-point home loss to the Packers as 4-point home chalk. They blew a 26-3 halftime advantage.Dallas has allowed 1,200 more yards than they have gained this season. Only the Jaguars are worse. In the Cowboys last 10 games they are 4-6 ITS (in the stats). On the flip side, the Redskins are 7-3 ITS in their last 10 games.
I don’t think there have been too many NFLhome underdogs with the better offense and defense. That’s what you will get if you like the Redskins in this contest.A defense that’s better by 50 yards. The Cowboys have major issues that stems from not having aknowledgeableGM in place. It was Bill Parcells that discovered Tony Romo, not Jerry Jones. I remember when Romo was onthe practice squad and Parcells would say in his press conferences that you better watch out for this guy, because he can play. Romo can play at a high level but when the calender says December, that usually means a loss for his team. Tony Romo is 8-11 SUand 4-15 ATS when his team is favored in the month of December. Washington is 6-1 ATS vs Dallas of late, including 3-0 at FedEx Field. This is basicallyWashington’sSuper Bowl game. At 3-11, they are going nowhere, but should be fired up at home to knock their arch rival out of the playoff picture.
The public is backing the Dallas Cowboys in this game. Bets are coming in on “America’s Team” at a 75% clip. The “Wise Guys” have been waiting for this spread to move to 3.5 butI doubt that’s going to happen. I think +3 is a solid line and I would expect this line to favor the underdog by game time.Dallas has gone 2-7 ATS L9 after facing the Green Bay Packers.
The Cowboys have major issues at linebacker (not to mention the entire defense)and you can bet Shanahan will design the right offensive game plan to take advantage of this glaring weakness. When your leading tackler is a safety (Barry Church) you know the defense has not been good. The Cowboys are 2-7 SU when Sean Lee is not the starting middle linebacker for Dallas. The Underdog is 23-8 ATS in their last 31 meetings.
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On 10/13/13, the Cowboys defeated Washington 31-16 as 6-point home chalk. The Redskins outgained Dallas 433-213, and looked like the better team despite the final score. Expect a big effort from the home team in this spot. They remember what happened earlier this season and will be ready for their Super Bowl against the phony Cowboys.
Jeff’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Washington Redskins +3
In addition to all the great info above, this will be the Redskins last home game until next season. Take the Redskins!
