Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick 10/20/19
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (0-6 SU, 3-3 ATS)
NFL Football Week 7
Date/Time: Sunday - October 20th - 1:00pm EST
Where: Paul Brown Stadium - Cincinnati, OH
Point Spread:JAX -3.5 /CIN +3.5 (Best Odds)
Over/Under Total: 44
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AND CINCINNATI BENGALS MATCHUP
This Sunday, the Jacksonville Jaguars will head north to take on the winless Cincinnati Bengals. Don’t get it twisted though, Jacksonville has had a pretty crap year as well going just 2-4 so far in 2019. Cincinnati comes in dead last in the NFC North (duh) while Jacksonville is third place in a very mediocre AFC South Division. Cincinnati is playing for pure pride this Sunday while the Jaguars can actually get back to .500 and find themselves right back in the AFC South Division race. Jacksonville is a 3.5 point favorite on the road against Cincinnati, while the total points are set at 44 combined. Both of these numbers seem about right to me, and I could see this game going either direction come Sunday.
STATISTICAL COMPARISONS BETWEEN JACKSONVILLE AND CINCINNATI:
Again, both teams are below .500, and neither team has lit up the scoreboard this season. Through six games each, Jacksonville has only scored about 19 points a game, which is ranked 23rd in the NFL while the Bengals rank even lower scoring just at 16 or so per contest. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 21.8 per game while Cincinnati again falls short of Jacksonville, giving up about 26-27 per game. The Bengals’ main issues this season have been their pass protection as well as their run defense…so in other words, O Line and D Line play. Cincinnati has allowed the third-most sacks in the entire league so far, and last week they showed how bad their run defense was when the Baltimore Ravens ran for 269 yards and two scores on them. Both of these must improve for Cincinnati to have any shot come Sunday afternoon. As for Jacksonville, the question mark will be the defense. Corner Back, Jalen Ramsey, is now gone for good. Yeah, he missed the last few games with a stomach ache or whatever his problem was, but now he is gone. This will be a huge hit on the Jags defense, but they did look good against the Saints last week. Is that because they are a good defense, or is the Drew Brees absence FINALLY catching up to New Orleans? I think it may be a combination of both but mostly the latter. Both of these teams have question marks, and I can see this being a very close game and also a game that will still be in doubt headed to the fourth quarter. I do think one of these teams eventually pull away….keep reading to find out who.
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HOW THE PUBLIC IS BETTING THE JACKSONVILLE AND CINCINNATI GAME
With the Jacksonville Jaguars being a road favorite, you would think that the public would pound the home team getting points, especially against a team who themselves have not played great this season. However, as of early Wednesday morning, 66% of the public action was on the Jaguars to cover on the road while just 34% liked the Bengals to cover. Both teams are 3-3 against the spreads this season, so neither has an advantage there. Although my gut tells me to ride with Jacksonville, I have a feeling that Cincinnati will not only keep this game close, but they will also win it and get their first victory of 2019.
WHY CINCINNATI WILL ACTUALLY COVER THE SPREAD ON SUNDAY
Listen, hear me out, yes, I know the Bengals are bad. They’re really bad, but the Jaguars have not shown me much either. Also, Jacksonville will be traveling north, where temperatures will be much cooler than they are used to in Florida. It will not be freezing, but it will make a little bit of a difference.
Along with that, I just feel like the Bengals are due for a win. Of their six losses, four of them were very competitive games, and two of them were games that the Bengals could have won. I am not saying that Cincinnati is legit, but I do think they have a win coming sometime soon, and that win will be this Sunday.
Again, I know that Jacksonville should win this game and should win it with ease, they just won’t. It is the NFL, and anytime you see a sure thing, it is not a sure thing. The public loves Jacksonville, but I am playing complete contrarian this week. Why? What stats do I have to back up my case? None, absolutely none. I just have the gut feeling that this is one of those games where the home team has enough edge over a pretty similar team, and they get the win. I think this game stays a rather low scoring, sloppy, and close. Going into the fourth quarter, I like it to be somewhere around a 14-13 type game, and in the end Andy Dalton…Yes, Andy Dalton will lead the Bengals to victory by a score of 23-17. You guys know what I am talking about here too. We all know each week there is that weird game or that game that you think you know how bad one team is, and just out of nowhere, they show up. That is this week. Oh, and may I add that the Jacksonville Jaguars have not covered a spread in their last seven games played in the month of October? So there, there is a stat for you. Take the Bengals…Trust me.
Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Take the Cincinnati Bengals to not only cover the 3.5 at home, but also to get their first straight up win of 2019. Bet your pick for FREE by taking advantage of the best sportsbook bonus in the industry: Deposit $100 to $500 and get a matching dollar for dollar REAL CASH bonus at GTBets (See our review page for all the great reasons to b there!!
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