Note: If you’re looking
for the 2014 Week 10 matchup between these teams, please go here: KC
Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Pick.
Kansas City Chiefs (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) vs. Buffalo Bills (3-5 SU, 5-3 ATS)
NFL Week 9
Date and Time: Sunday, November 3, 1:00pm
Where: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Buffalo, New York
by Bob, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: KC -3/BUF +3
Over/Under Total: 40.5
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This Sunday, the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs will take
their perfect record on the road take on the Buffalo Bills.
Kansas City obviously sits atop the AFC Western division at 8-0, while Buffalo
at 3-5 overall sits in 4th place in the AFC Eastern Division. Kansas City
comes in as a road favorite at a three point favorite while the over/under
is set at 40.5 points total. Even though the Chiefs are sitting at 8-0,
they need every win they can get since Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos
are nipping at their heels for the division lead. Buffalo is still somewhat
alive in the AFC playoff race, but to be honest, I think everyone, including
themselves realize that is a bit of a stretch. On the surface this game
looks to be pretty one sided in favor of the Chiefs, but let us take a look
at both sides and see which way to lean here.
Buffalo comes into the game as a home underdog, which is understandable when the team coming in is sitting with a perfect record at the halfway point of the regular season. With the exception of running the ball really well (ranked 7th in the NFL), there isn’t a lot that the Bills do well. They rank in the bottom third of the league in most defensive categories, and rookie quarterback, EJ Manuel and youngin’ Thad Lewis have them ranked 30th in the NFL in passing yards. In defense of the Bills though, they have played a pretty tough schedule. They have already faced New England, Baltimore, New Orleans, and as crazy as it sounds, Carolina. The Bills have been tested and for the most part, even though they have lost most game, they have been fairly competitive. In order to upset the undefeated Chiefs, the Bills will need to score. Kansas City may be unbeaten, but they are certainly not invincible. If anyone can get them into a shootout, I don’t think their offense will have the fire power to hang. This is not a shot at Alex Smith or the Chiefs offense, but they are designed to play good defense, and grind the ball and win close, low scoring games….that’s just what they do. Buffalo has one goal this game: SCORE. The Bills need to find a way to be explosive and put up points, and lots of them. They have a great run game, but they need to use the run threat in order to open up the pass game. If Buffalo can score between 24-30, I think they might can pull this off.
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Kansas City, undefeated through the midway point. Wow….who would have ever thought that? With new head coach, Andy Reid, and their new QB, Alex Smith, the KC fans have one thing on their mind, a Super Bowl. Do I think that Kansas City is really the best team in the NFL? Probably not, but hey, you got to give credit where credit is due. They haven’t lost so that in itself says something about this team. The Chiefs have played great defense this year, ranking 4th in pass defense, and 11th in rush defense. Not only is their defense stout,, they can run the ball too. By boasting the 11th best rushing attack in the league, this gives Alex Smith less pressure and allows him to manage the game and only make the big plays when needed. To cover this spread on the road, and get their 9th straight win, the Chiefs will need to simply play their brand of football. Keep the Bills offense on the sideline and run it down the defenses throat. This could be an easy win and cover for the Chiefs, but in the NFL, you never know, especially when you’re on the road.
Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: This pick seems far too easy, which scares me. I just like Kansas City a whole lot here. It is always tough to travel in the NFL, but I think this matchup is just too one sided. I don’t see any aspect of this game where Buffalo can expose KC. Another fact that scares me is that 74% of the action is sitting on Kansas City. That is just way too one sided for me. I think this line will shift as the week continues. I am going to be totally square on this one and take the Chiefs. I like KC to win this thing 24-13. PICK KANSAS CITY -3