Miami Dolphins vs. New York Giants Pick 12/15/19

by | Dec 10, 2019 | nfl

Miami Dolphins (3-10 SU, 7-6 ATS) vs. New York Giants (2-11 SU, 5-8 ATS)

When: Sunday, December 15th, 2019 – 1:00 PM ET

Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ


Point Spread: MIA +3 / NYG -3 (Intertops - 50% Bonus up to $200 FREE! - Oldest/Most Trusted!)

Total: 48

Power Rankings: Phins -3

Takeaways From Week 14

The Dolphins fell in heart-breaking fashion when they were in East Rutherford last week against a team that the Giants share MetLife Stadium with; the New York Jets. As a result of a game-winning field goal, the Dolphins fell narrowly to their divisional rivals by a score of 22-21. Though Miami failed to win outright, they came in under the number comfortably as a five-point underdog. The Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in their last nine fixtures.

The Giants come into this game off the heels of a 23-17 loss on Monday Night Football when the G-Men fell to their arch-rival Philadelphia in the City of Brotherly Love. Closing as a 9.5-point underdog, Big Blue took the Eagles to overtime and brought its takers to cashier window while doing so. The Giants remain winless in their previous nine outings overall.

How the Public is Betting the Miami-New York Game

At the time this article was written (Tuesday morning), no line movements have occurred in either point spread or totals markets.

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The Historicals

The Giants have controlled this series as of late as they have won the last three meetings between both sides dating back to 2007. The Dolphins and Giants last met on December 14th, 2015, in Miami, where the Giants would defeat the Dolphins 31-24 to cover as a 2.5-point road favorite.

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Betting Trends

The Dolphins have been kind to bettors as a whole as of late, and this is further embellished by Miami pitching a 5-1 ATS record after an ATS win. Moreover, Miami is 5-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. Situationally, these narratives set up the Dolphins to be a savory choice here with the points.

Injury Concerns

The most significant storyline concerning this contest surrounds the Giants camp and the injury to their quarterback of the future Daniel Jones. “Dan The Man” suffered an ankle injury, which has prompted the long-time face of the franchise, Eli Manning, to step into the starting role in relief duties.

Why We Like New York To Cover

Despite boding one of the worse records in the NFL from a straight-up perspective, the Dolphins have been a cash cow against the spread as of late. As a result of this trend, the Dolphins are in a position to be taking back fewer points than it perhaps should be. This narrative is only enhanced by the fact that Miami fell by the slightest of margins against the Jets in MetLife Stadium last week. The Jets defeated the Giants, and thus there are some that may suspect that Miami will not only cover here but win outright. When we toss in the fact that Miami also defeated Philadelphia, who that the Giants fell to on Monday Night, the small spread will undoubtedly enchant Money Line propositions from many. However, I anticipate the Giants will want to send Eli Manning off with a win before the campaign concludes, and there isn’t a better opportunity to do so, given the match-up combined with home environs. The G-Men will play at a premium level when they host the Dolphins and come away with the win. By no means will it be pretty, but we can trust them here, laying a field goal.

Keith’s Pick to Cover the Spread: New York -3

This is the time of year where we expect teams to begin “tanking” for a high draft pick. Assuredly, the Giants may be found doing such a thing in due course as they sit with the #2 pick behind Cincinnati, who has just one win on the season. However, Big Blue will be motivated to snag more victory before we see the G-Men empty the bench. Miami’s defense is the worst in the NFL, giving up 30.7 points per game. While New York’s defense is nothing to marvel at by any stretch as they surrender 28.8 points per match (28th overall), it nevertheless is virtually a field goal less compared to their counterparts. When we factor in that Miami’s offense scores just 17 points per game (30th in the NFL) compared to the Giants who score 19 points per outing (25th overall), I anticipate the Giants have sufficient avenues to find the points it needs to win and cover successfully while they do so.

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