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Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets Game Pick

by | Sep 14, 2018 | nfl

Miami Dolphins (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. New York Jets (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
NFL Week 2
When: Sunday, September 16th 2018 –1:00 PM ET
Where: MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, NJ
TV: CBS
By: Keith Franks, NFL Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Spread: Miami -1 / New York +1
Total: 43.5

The Miami Dolphins and the New York Jets will square off in an AFC East divisional clash at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey on Sunday, September 16th, 2018. The kick-off time is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET and will be aired on CBS for regional demographics. Miami and New York are fierce rivals as a result of their divisional alignment. All time the Jets own four more wins than their counterparts. However, the Fins have won three of the last four contests between both parties.

Jets Roll On Monday Night

Despite closing as a touchdown underdog, the Jets made an example out of the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football to kick off 2018. The Sam Darnold Era would open up with a bang as a result of an impressive 48-17 rout of the Lions in the Motor City. While the rookie quarterback made several mistakes in the game, it is all a part of the learning curve and the various growing pains that is to be expected. What was exceptional was the play of the Jets’ defense which forced five turnovers, one of which was a pick-six. The Jets’ special teams also added another dazzler with a 78-yard punt return by Andre Roberts to put the game on ice for Gang Green.

Jets Coach Todd Bowles has been on the hot seat for several seasons now despite empowering the Jets to consistently play above their station. Last year, the Jets were expected to go winless by some bold forecasters; yet at one point New York was in the mix for a playoff berth as a wildcard team. Despite finishing 5-11, New York was considered an overachiever in 2017 given their low ceiling in pre-season predictions.

Dolphins Start Off Strong

The Dolphins started off their 2018 on the right foot as well, defeating the Tennessee Titans at home by a score of 27-20. In this game, we saw the Fins as a pick-em. Though Miami lost their stand-out receiver Jarvis Landry in a trade with the Cleveland Browns, the Dolphins still have plenty of talent on the offensive side of the football. At running back, Miami bodes one of its favorite sons Frank Gore who played college ball at the University of Miami just down the road. In addition, veteran wide-outs Kenny Stills and Danny Amendola give quarterback Ryan Tannehill options in the passing game. This is a serviceable outfit that is off the radar in the East by virtue of Buffalo ending their playoff drought combined with the prominence of the New England Patriots.

Despite the box score, Miami controlled most of this game as they led by as much as two touchdowns in the fourth quarter. A kick return touchdown by Titans special teamer Darius Jennings closed the gap to a one-possession game. Nevertheless, Miami’s defense managed to cause three turnovers which is exactly the kind of play they will need with their offense being often maligned in recent seasons due to an influx and exodus of talent. In addition to losing Jarvis Landry, Miami also parted ways with bell-cow rusher Jay Ajayi in 2017 in a trade with Philadelphia.

Take Miami -1

A great angle to take in handicapping is fading a team that won big on Monday Night Football in its follow-up. The entire football universe bore witness to the beat down that the Jets laid on the Lions and as a result, an overreaction will likely materialize this week. This propensity is heightened by virtue of the fact that the Jets are at home in the Meadowlands, no less.

However, this type of jargon and rhetoric sets up Gang Green for a huge let-down. Given the intensity of this rivalry, this scenario sets up perfectly for Miami to take advantage as they can lie in wait. The market itself is reluctant to buy into New York replicating its results and this is why they are not favored this week when the line opened. Detroit just missed being a playoff team in 2017, Miami didn’t even have a winning season. On paper, the Jets are getting a weaker opponent in more favorable confines yet the line shows reluctance in buying into the verity of their Week One result. Though the Jets are a dog at the time this article was written, it would not be a shocker to see this team close as the chalk which opens the door for an excellent Money Line play on Miami.