New Orleans Saints vs. New York Jets Odds, Tips, Predictions

by | Dec 7, 2021 | nfl

New Orleans Saints (5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS) vs. New York Jets (3-9 SU, 3-9 ATS)

NFL Football Week 14

Date/Time: Sunday December 12th, 2021. 1:00PM (EST)

Where: MetLife Stadium East Rutherford, NJ

TV: CBS

Betting Odds:

Point Spread:NO -5.5/NYJ +5.5 (GTBets - They offer Predictem readers an awesome 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $50 to $500! Sweet rewards program too!)

Total: 43.5

The New Orleans Saints made a change at the quarterback position but still dropped their 5th straight game last Thursday in front of a primetime audience in a 27-17 defeat to the Dallas Cowboys. After several weeks of poor play from backup Trevor Siemian, QB Taysom Hill got his 1st start of the season, but the Cowboys defense corralled four interceptions as the Saints’ offensive woes festered. On Sunday, New Orleans will have their best opportunity in recent memory to snap their losing skid when they travel to MetLife Stadium for a date with the New York Jets.

Despite already surpassing their win total (2) from last year, the 3-9 SU Jets remain one of the NFL’s worst teams. Following the Jets’ 3rd victory of the season over the Texans in week 12, New York returned to their disappointing ways with a 33-18 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, who were without QB Jalen Hurts. Instead of taking advantage of the situation, the Jets defense collapsed by giving up 418 total yards in the loss. QB Zach Wilson returned behind center for the 2nd straight week, but the Jets could not establish enough firepower to consistently create scoring positions which have ultimately been the story all season. Despite the downtrend, which includes losses in four of the last five games, the Jets still have an opportunity this week against a New Orleans’ team that is riddled with injuries and struggling just as much as anyone around the league!

Saints QB Taysom Hill to play in week 14

New Orleans has experienced a disastrous year on the injury front across the entire time but especially at the position that means the most. In the awkwardly new post-Drew Brees era, starting QB, Jameis Winston was lost due to a season-ending ACL injury. Backup QB Trevor Siemian received several starts but never displayed any long-term promise nor proved to be a reliable option in the Saints passing attack. Most recently, Head Coach Sean Payton turned to utility player Taysom Hill to get his chance to lead the offense. Hill started four games in 2020 and performed relatively well as a dual-threat option.

In last Sunday’s loss to Dallas, Hill received his 1st start of the season and posted his worst career performance to date by hitting just 19 of 41 passing for 264 yards with two touchdowns and four interceptions. Hill did rack up 100 yards rushing on the ground, but the turnovers proved to be most costly. Perhaps more importantly than the poor performance, Hill suffered a mallet finger injury similar to the injury that sidelined QB Russell Wilson (Seattle) for several weeks this season. Apparently, Hill’s injury is not as severe, and he will reportedly play through the pain. While Hill may be in discomfort, his availability is important to note because he easily gives the Saints’ the best opportunity to win and move the football consistently.

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New Orleans Saints vs. New York Jets Betting Analysis

Personally, I find this match-up between the Saints and Jets relatively intriguing. New Orleans’ strength on the defensive side of the football has been against the run, but the Jets have the worst running offense in the NFL. Instead, QB Zach Wilson will get another chance at redemption against a Saints’ pass defense that has been vulnerable and yields 250 yards per game on average. Rookie WR Elijah Moore has really turned things up in recent weeks, and he is the type of underneath option that could frustrate the Saints’ zone coverage. If the Jets’ can keep the chains moving and limit the Saints’ possessions, it will really help their bid towards an upset.

On the other side of the football, I am not ready to write off QB Taysom Hill after getting eaten up by a Cowboys defense that has forced turnovers all season. Instead, I believe Hill’s dual-threat ability creates an even more difficult challenge for a less talented Jets’ defense. Perhaps the bigger storyline will be the pending availability of star RB Alvin Kamara. Kamara has been sidelined for several weeks with an MCL sprain but is reportedly getting close to returning. If Kamara is able to go, he would give the Saints a huge boost against a New York defense that ranks 30th in DVOA against the run. If Kamara is inactive, things get more difficult for the Saints’ offense that is lacking playmakers.

Jay’s Pick: If Kamara is active, I really like the Saints here because they remain the more talented team and the extra star at the skill position will help exploit the Jets’ defensive woes. If Kamara is inactive, I would still take New Orleans -5.5 with less exposure! Question: Do you partake in live betting? Sportsbooks purposely make it hard for you to have a user friendly platform so it keeps you with as little information as possible and clicking from page to page to find games to bet and grab the best value. That is NOT the case at Bovada Sportsbook! Their live wagering page is off the rails efficient and user friendly. This allows you to capitalize huge, as everything is on one page and their system processes your bets FAST! They also offer a generous 50% bonus! Check them out! You’ll be glad you did!