New Orleans Saints vs. New York Jets Point Spread – Pick Against the Spread

New Orleans Saints (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) vs. New York Jets (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS)
NFL Week 9
Date and Time: Sunday, November 3, 1:00pm
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
by Bob Football Handicapper,

Point Spread: NO -6/NYJ +6
Over/Under Total: 45.5

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This Sunday the New Orleans Saints will take their 6-1
record north to face off against the 4-4 New York Jets. The Jets at 4-4 are
2nd place in the AFC East, while the Saints are leading the NFC’s South
division. The line now has the Saints as a road favorite giving up six points
to the Jets. The Jets come in at 4-4 and many thought that they wouldn’t
reach four wins all season. They have been a bit of a surprise already and
when Rex Ryan is involved, nothing is impossible. I am not going to go as
far as to place the Saints on upset alert, but I would not be the least
bit surprised to see them struggle a little on the road. This is a much
more important game for the Jets than it is for the Saints. They are a virtual
lock for a playoff spot and first round bye….if they keep up the pace
they are on that is. The Jets are one of those teams that will struggle,
fight, and claw til the very end to try and make the post season. Lets take
a moment to break down this contest.

Well, the Saints are back. After an embarrassing 2012-2013 campaign, they are not back atop the NFC South and are quietly looking like the best team in all of the NFC. If not for a miracle win by the New England Patriots in the final seconds, the Saints would be 7-0 coming into this game. With the 3rd best passing attack in all of the NFL, and the 9th best passing defense, the Saints are tough to compete with. Drew Brees is rolling as always but this season, the defense is helping. Don’t forget that the Saints defense was the worst in the history of football last season. It was bad, really bad. Coming into this season, I knew the Saints offense would roll with the return of their coach, but I didn’t think the defense would bounce back so quickly. To be honest, the NFC is the Sains to lose, especially if they get the home field advantage. Many of the teams people thought would compete for the NFC title are not looking as strong as expected. This game will actually be a challenge for the Saints. I don’t think they have faced a defense as physical as what they will face in the Jets. Not only that, Rex Ryan has a way of getting his teams up for big games. I like the Saints to sneak outta here with a win, but will they cover the six?


Like I said earlier, the New York Jets have been a bit of a surprise this season. Coming in at 4-4, they have surpassed many experts expectations of their season. Geno Smith has done some good things as a rookie QB, but he has made his share of mistakes too, but that’s what rookies do. The Jets defense leads the league in rush defense, and also ranks in the top 15 in passing D. These guys are going to give the Saints all they want, and then some. All season long, even in the losses, the Jets have been competitive….with the exception of last week when the Bengals put a 49-9 beatdown on them. The Jets play good defense, and the offense has been good enough to hang around. The key to this game is very easy: Pressure Drew Brees. If the Jets cannot get to the quarterback, it will be a very long day. The last thing New York wants is to get in a shootout with the New Orleans Saints. That would be a disaster. If the Jets can keep this game close, and keep the Saints under 24 points, they will have a shot to pull the upset, and worst case, cover the six point spread.

Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I looked at some numbers and good lord, the public is absolutely pounding the Saints in this game. One site that I check my stats stated that 89% of the action was on New Orleans while only 11% bet the side of the Jets. That is crazy! One thing that most people don’t think about when looking at New Orleans is that they are a very strong home team. In the Superdome, they are nearly unstoppable, but on the road, the story changes a little. This season away from New Orleans, the Saints have barely beaten Tampa, slipped by the Bears in an ugly game, ands lost to the Patriots. I have a feeling the Saints are about to find themselves in a dog fight against the Jets. I see a 27-23 type game here. I am going total contrarian here. Take the Jets plus the points. PICK: NEW YORK JETS +6