New York Jets (6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) vs. New York Giants (5-6 SU, 6-4-1 ATS)
NFL Week 13
Date/Time: Sunday, December 6, 2015, 1:00 pm EST
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.
TV: CBS, DirecTV 708
by Badger, NFL Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: NYJ -2/NYG +2
Over/Under Total: 45
The bragging rights to New York will be on the line inside MetLife Stadium on Sunday, when the New York Jets and the New York Giants tangle in an AFC-NFC week 13 showdown on CBS.
While neither team is setting the Big Apple on fire right now, the battle on Sunday will be crucial to both teams and their postseason hopes. The Jets are chasing an AFC wild card spot since the Patriots are running away with the AFC East, and the Giants will need to continue to keep winning in order to pull away from the pack in the muddled-up NFC East.
The Giants had a perfect opportunity last weekend to separate themselves from the chase pack in the NFC East, but Eli Manning threw three interceptions and the G-men slept-walked through the first three quarters of a, 20-14, loss at division rival Washington. The Giants have now lost two in a row and three out of the last four as they struggle to pull away in a division that nobody seems to want to win.
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The Jets snapped a two-game losing streak with a huge victory last Sunday over their division rival Miami Dolphins at home inside MetLife, 38-20. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick trimmed the beard and it changed his luck as he threw for four touchdowns in a game that wasnt as close as the score indicates.
When this weeks battle for New York first went up on the board at most sportsbooks late on Sunday, the Jets opened as 1-point favorites in the dual-home venue. After a half of day of taking wagers, the point spread has moved a full point so that now the Jets are minus -2 at most sportsbooks. The over/under total opened at 45 and has only moved the hook to 45.5 at the few books taking wagers on totals right now.
Offensively it should be interesting how the Giants choose to try and attack a Jets defense that is currently ranked 5th overall and 9th in scoring allowing just 20.7 points per game. The G-men continue to have zero running game (89 ypg 28th in NFL), and considering the Jets are tops in the NFL allowing a meager 84 yards per game rushing the Giants might choose to have Eli throw it 60-plus times on Sunday. Of course, sometimes Manning forgets which color jersey the Giants are wearing, so look for the Jets to use heavy blitz pressure and force Mannings decisions to come quick in the passing game.
The Jets and Fitzpatrick got their groove back last weekend, and despite the mini two-game slide they continue to have a fairly formidable offensive attack. Ranked 14th in running the ball with Chris Ivory, the Jets and Fitz will certainly try and take advantage of the Giants porous secondary which is currently last in the NFL allowing a huge total of 309 yards passing a game thus far in 2015.
The last time the AFC Jets tangled with the NFC Giants, back in 2011, the G-men walked away, 29-14 winners. However, it should be noted that the game took place in the Mark Sanchez-era of Jets football so you can hardly draw many conclusions to the end result four years ago. The game was also notable because a Manning to-Victor Cruz 99-yard touchdown pass set the Giants franchise record for longest TD pass.
It should be noted though that the game in 2011 and this years version ironically closed with the Jets as 1.5-point favorites at the home team inside MetLife. The win was also the Giants fifth straight over the little brother Jets, so motivation will not be hard to find for the J-E-T-S in this one on Sunday.
Badger’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: The Giants gave away a game last Sunday against the Redskins they really had to have, so staying focused on the Jets this week should be easy. The G-men also seem to have the Jets number over the years, but considering their defense is dead-last in a bunch of defensive categories, right now I just cant encourage any sort of a wager on them despite the fact I like them as an underdog in this game. Manning will have to score over 28 points to stay in this game, and against the Jets tough defense with their blitzing scheme, I just dont think they can do it. Im taking the Jets to finally break through against their cross-town rivals this year. This is the year of the Jets, Im taking the Jets minus the -2 points.
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