Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders: Free Pick ATS

by | Last updated Sep 28, 2023 | nfl

Washington Commanders (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-0, 2-0-1)

Date/Time: Sunday, October 1st, 2023, 1:00 pm ET

Where: Lincoln Financial Field

TV: Fox

NFL Betting Odds

Point Spread: Washington +8 / Philadelphia -8

Money Line: Washington +320 / Philadelphia -405

Total: 43.5

Game Overview

The 179th meeting between the Eagles and Commanders takes place on Sunday in Philadelphia. It’s also the first face-off between quarterbacks Jalen Hurts and Sam Howell. The Eagles are favored by more than a touchdown in this divisional matchup. Let’s dive into our free NFL betting pick.

NFL Betting Lines

The Week 4 NFL betting market opened with Philadelphia as an 8.5-point divisional home favorite, but early action has moved the spread to -8, with the total now at 43.5.

Commanders Betting Preview

Washington suffered a crushing 37-3 defeat to Buffalo in their last game. The Commanders allowed the Bills to score on four of their first five possessions, trailing 16-0 at halftime. Washington struggled on both sides of the ball, giving up 168 rushing yards, turning the ball over five times, and allowing nine sacks. While they started the season with a victory over Arizona, they barely edged out bad teams like Denver.

Eagles Betting Preview

Philadelphia, on the other hand, boasts a 3-0 record. They convincingly defeated Tampa Bay with a 25-11 score, showcasing a dominant performance. The Eagles outgained the Buccaneers, outrushed them, and controlled time of possession.

Commanders-Eagles Recent History

Philadelphia has a 3-1 SU record but is 1-2-1 ATS in the last four meetings with Washington. Last year, they split two games, with the Eagles winning in Washington 24-8, and the Commanders winning in Philly 32-21. This game marks the first matchup between quarterbacks Hurts and Howell.

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NFL Betting Trends

Through Week 3, NFL home teams are 22-26 SU and 19-26 ATS. Favorites are 28-20 SU but only 20-25 ATS. Philadelphia has a strong record with Hurts as the starting QB, going 20-1 SU and 11-8-2 ATS in their last 21 games.

Totals Report

The unders are 2-1 in Commanders games this season, with an average of 48 total points. In Eagles games, the overs are 2-1, also averaging 48 points. Overall, unders are 25-23 this NFL season.

Free NFL Betting Pick

Washington has struggled against both weak and strong opponents, while Philadelphia has shown dominance in their victories. Considering the Eagles’ ability to control the game and their strong rushing game, we’re leaning towards Philadelphia to cover the spread in this matchup.

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