Raiders vs. Chiefs Pick – Week 5 Prediction ATS
, Las Vegas Raiders (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Week 5 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, October 11, 2020 at 1PM EDT
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Point Spread: LV +13.5/KC -13.5 (Bet this game for free with a 100% BONUS!)
Over/Under Total: 56
The Las Vegas Raiders come to Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday for an AFC West showdown with the Kansas City Chiefs The Raiders came up short on Sunday in a 30-23 loss at home to Buffalo. It was their second straight loss after a 2-0 start, and a third straight loss would be a major setback. The trouble is, they’re going into Arrowhead to take on the 4-0 defending Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs. On MNF, the Chiefs kept it going with a 26-10 win over the Patriots. They stay at home for this one and look to take it to 5-0 this week. Who can cover on Sunday at Arrowhead?
Will the Chiefs Be at a Fever Pitch?
One could site that they’re coming off the short week. In the Chiefs 26-10 win over the Pats, however, one never really got the impression that the Chiefs were battling at full-force. In other words, it’s wasn’t that draining of a win, as the Chiefs more or less cruised to the finish line with the easy win and cover. And while they have underperformed once this season, needing late-game theatrics to nose the Chargers, they’ve been pretty steady in defense of their Super Bowl crown.
A Raiders’ backer in this spot could point to urgency. At 2-2 on the heels of two straight losses, this is a fork-in-the-road moment for the 2020 Raiders. A win gets them pointed in the right direction, while a loss will have then picking up the pieces at 2-3 in a crowded conference of contenders. Teams can’t simply will themselves to wins in this league, especially in difficult spots like this, but it’s only fair to acknowledge the Raiders will be pushing hard for this one. Again, urgency only goes so far against a team that beat you by a combined score of 68-19 in two games last season. For what it’s worth, though, last season saw the Chiefs go to 4-0 before hosting a substandard Indy team, where the Chiefs were beaten outright, 19-13.
We have seen what at least appears to be a rash of injuries in the league, and the Raiders have been hit hard. Their offense has taken hits, with their two stud rookie receivers in Henry Ruggs, III. and Bryan Edwards both iffy heading into this game. They’re already without Tyrell Williams, so their receiver package isn’t quite what Derek Carr was banking on. Darren Waller is just getting back to speed after being hurt a few weeks ago. The line is battered with Trent Brown missing games and Richie Incognito out. On the other side of the ball, both starting defensive tackles are questionable. And in the secondary, rookie Damon Arnette is out, with starters LaMarcus Joyner and Nevin Lawson listed as questionable. It’s just hard to meet the projections of forecasted improvement when most of the pieces that were supposed to help are sidelined. Then you look at the Chiefs, a team that doesn’t need an abundance of luck, and you see they’ve gotten through the first quarter of the season relatively unscathed in the injury department.
Trouble for Vegas
In the last few weeks, the Vegas defense has faltered dramatically, giving up 30 to Buffalo on their field, which followed a 36-point allowance to the Patriots, who could only manage ten against the Chiefs last Monday. And with all their injuries, it’s no wonder. Combine that with maybe not making the best draft picks they could make, and this Raiders’ defense is really hurting—bad news in this spot. And while the KC offense hasn’t been electric at all times this season, scoring 82 points in their last three games, meaning Las Vegas could be in reach to be in the mix if they can keep the Chiefs in the twenties in scoring. At home, against this defense, however, Patrick Mahomes has a lot of tools to wield, and things could line up for a more-vintage KC offensive showing this week.
The KC Defense
The Chiefs have played some dangerous offenses this season so far, taking on the Ravens, Chargers, Texans, and Patriots. We see a defense making a lot of plays and being pretty stout. In four games, they’ve allowed exactly 20 points in three games and ten points in the other. They’re getting turnovers and scored their first TD on MNF with Tyrann Mathieu getting a pick-six. Frank Clark and Chris Jones (questionable) are getting after the QB, they’re disruptive, and their secondary seems to have elevated their form, allowing relatively very little to opposing quarterbacks. Some might find it startling that they’ve allowed the second-fewest points in the whole league, which doesn’t necessarily portend positive things for this battered Raiders’ offense this week.
Lay the Number
The Raiders have a lot to play for and could potentially benefit from an urgency spike that could affect what we see on the field. For all their success, the Chiefs aren’t beyond showing up a little flat on given weeks. At 4-0 and already with a stranglehold on the division, there could be some let-up. But that’s a pretty negative betting prognosis when you’re banking on the element of urgency to resonate. Last week was also an urgent spot for the Raiders, and at home, they couldn’t get it done. Now in Arrowhead in a game out of their time zone, it’s all going to come together in light of all these injuries? Sure, that could happen. Certain conditions even suggest that it’s not that much of a pipe dream. I just don’t see this Raiders team in this current incarnation being very reliable in this spot at all. I’ll take the Chiefs.
Loot’s Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I’m betting on the Kansas City Chieefs minus 13.5 points. Note: 5Dimes has left the U.S. betting market. Most aren’t aware that you can still bet on games at -105 though! Same betting platform, website, wagering menu and same great -105 odds on sides and totals! Find all of this at BetAnySports! Betting at reduced odds is WAY better than any bonus you can get! Click here to start betting smarter TODAY!
Get $60 of FREE member picks & predictions
(NO commitments. NO Credit Card. NO Salesman.)