San Diego Chargers (6-5) -6, 37.5 O/U at Kansas City Chiefs (4-7) +6, Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, 1.00pm EST Sunday
by The Crazy Snake of Predictem.com
In the previous meeting between these two fierce divisional rivals it was the Chiefs who stunned the Chargers 30-16 with a 24-0 second half as monster dogs. LT had a big day, rushing for 132 yards on 20 carries but had only 30 of those yards after half time as Norv Turner turned him a blind eye in the third stanza. As the Chiefs surged, the crowd was heard to chant “Marty! Marty” in reference to Marty Shottenheimer, who was cut in favor of Norv after last season.
With the teams heading in entirely opposing directions since their week
4 meeting, with San Diego winning 2 of its last 3 and Kansas dropping its
past 4, it is once again the Chargers who have been given the nod by the bookies
at -6. Kansas has struggled offensively of late, with Brodie Croyle taking
over for the injured Damon Huard and Larry Johnson having sat out several
weeks now due to injury. Some encouragement has come for the Chiefs in the
form of rookie running back, Kolby Smith, who rushed for 150 yards and 2
TD’s on 31 carries against Oakland last week. Any semblance of hope for Chief’s
fans quickly turned to disappointment as they fell to divisional rivals,
the Oakland Raiders for the first time in 10 attempts.
Meanwhile, the Chargers were handing the Ravens a 32-14 spanking on home soil, with Philip Rivers having a very solid day in tandem with Antonio Gates, combining for 2 TDs. Since the Charger’s recent surge the calls for the return of Marty have silenced somewhat, but a loss here would put them at 6-6 and those calls might just resurface.
Historically, Arrowhead has not been a happy hunting ground for the Chargers and I am always a little wary of giving up this many points against a home dog on the rebound from a shock loss. Having said that, it is pretty difficult to see how the Chiefs can combine for enough points here as they have been kept pretty quiet offensively since the demise of Huard and Johnson. Nevertheless, at this corresponding game last season it was Kansas City who sent the Chargers packing with one of only two regular season losses. High on the list of reasons for that result was an uncompromising Chiefs defense and strong divisional rivalry as motivation. Nothing changes here, except that San Diego is far less potent offensively than last year’s version. It’s fair to say that Kansas’ offense is even more impotent than last season.
This point spread opened at -4.5 and there has been a strong move for the Chargers throughout the week, such that it is now -6. Personally, I cannot come at giving 6 points away on the road to a team that has all kinds of reasons to show up. I don’t really rate the Chargers this season and see them as imposters to some degree. Yes, they beat the Colts in a bog but they weren’t really in the game in general play. They just kept getting the ball as Peyton Manning tried his very best to lose it. If not for Cromartie and the injury to Freeney that game would never have landed in their laps the way it did. Vinatieri blew two opportunities to snatch it away and the Chargers were offensively inept after the half.
The Snake’s Bite: Take the -6 about the Chargers at your peril. I will be doing no such thing. I think the Chiefs will repeat the shock of week 4 and may even win outright. I am not a big fan of Herm Edwards, but I think the Chiefs will show up in big style on Sunday and the Chargers will need to stay on it to win heads up, let alone cover 6 points.