Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons Pick ATS

by | Dec 16, 2020 | nfl

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-5 SU, 7-6 ATS) vs. Atlanta Falcons (4-9, 5-8), 12/20/20

Time: 1 pm ET Sunday, Dec. 20

Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

TV: Fox

Point spread: TB -6/Atl +6 (BetNow - Deposit $100 to $1000 and they’ll match you with a 100% bonus! The biggest bonus ever from a legit online bookie!)

Money line: Buccaneers -260/Falcons +215

Over/Under: 50.5

Tampa Bay continues its quest for its first playoff berth in 13 seasons when it visits Atlanta for an
NFC South rivalry bout with the Falcons Sunday afternoon. The Buccaneers own the No. 6 seed in the NFC playoff standings at the moment and they’ll be favored for each of their last three games. In fact, they’re favored by a short touchdown for this one; who do we like for our free NFL pick?

NFL Betting Odds

Week 15 NFL betting odds opened Tampa at -2 for this game, with an over/under of 51.5. Early betting action then steamed the Bucs four points, to -6, and dipped that total to 50.5.

Tampa Bay Betting Preview

The Buccaneers just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 26-14 win over Minnesota last week. Tampa Bay spotted the Vikings the first six points of the game, then used a 23-0 run spanning the halves to take control, on its way toward the victory and the cover as a seven-point favorite.

Tampa actually got out-gained by Minnesota 335-303, out-rushed 162-107 and lost time of possession by a huge 39:21 split. But the Bucs benefited immensely from four missed kicks by Minnesota, which cost the Vikings 10 points.

Tampa Bay has now been out-gained in five of its last six games and out-rushed by four of its last six foes.

Two games ago the Buccaneers got out-gained by Kansas City by 126 yards and lost 27-24, and three games ago they got out-gained by the Rams by 162 yards and lost by that same score.

At 8-5 overall Tampa Bay trails first-place New Orleans by two games in the NFC South but also owns the No. 6 spot in NFC playoff standings, one game clear of No. 7 Arizona. If the playoffs started today the Bucs would play the Rams in Los Angeles in an NFC wild-card game.

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Atlanta Betting Preview

The Falcons, meanwhile, own back-to-back losses, after falling to the Chargers out in SoCal last week 20-17. Atlanta trailed 7-0 early but led 17-10 at the half. The Falcons then came up empty offensively from there, as QB Matt Ryan tossed three second-half interceptions, the last of which the Chargers turned into the game-winning field goal at the buzzer.

Atlanta got out-gained by the Chargers 345-319, out-rushed 105-70, lost time of possession by a 34:26 split and lost the turnover battle 3-1, resulting in a -13 points differential.

The Falcons have now been out-gained and out-rushed by four of their last five opponents.

Two weeks ago Atlanta lost to a Drew Brees-less New Orleans 21-16.

At 4-9 overall the Falcons are playing out the string on another disappointing season.

These teams have played eight common opponents this season; Tampa is 7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS against the Saints, Panthers, Broncos, Bears, Packers, Chargers, Raiders and Vikings while Atlanta is 4-6 both SU and ATS vs. that slate of foes.

Buccaneers-Falcons Recent History

Atlanta is 6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS over the last seven meetings with Tampa Bay. However, none of those games involved Tom Brady.

NFL Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay is 4-3 ATS this season when favored by seven points or less.
  • Atlanta is 4-4 both SU and ATS under interim Coach Morris.
  • Home teams are 103-104 SU, 99-107 ATS in the NFL this season.
  • Favorites are 136-70 SU, 90-115 in the NFL this season.
  • Home dogs are 43-35 ATS in the NFL this season.

Totals Report

Overs are 7-6 in Bucs games this season, which are averaging 51 total points.

Unders are 8-5 in Falcons games this season, which are averaging 50 points.

Unders are 33-24 over the last three weeks in the NFL.

Free NFL Pick

Tampa Bay is driving toward a playoff berth while Atlanta, after winning three of its first four games following the change at head coach, is fizzling out. Also, Brady gets to go against a Falcons defense that ranks 30th in the League against the pass. Also, the Buccaneers’ defense ranks seventh overall and No. 1 against the run. We’ll take Tampa here, minus the points. Hey! Why are you still laying -110 odds when you could be laying only -105 at BetAnySports! ROCK SOLID book!