Texans vs. Jaguars Week 9 O/U Bet

by | Nov 5, 2020 | nfl

Houston Texans (1-6 SU, 1-6 ATS) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-6, 2-5), 11/8/20

Time: 1 pm ET Sunday, Nov. 8

Where: TIAA Bank Field

TV: CBS

Point spread: Hous -7/Jax +7 (BetNow - Deposit $1000 and they’ll give you $1000 FREE!)

Moneyline: Texans -310/Jaguars +250

Over/Under: 50

Houston owns the upper hand in the recent rivalry with Jacksonville, winning the last five meetings outright while going 4-1 against the spread. The Texans hope to run that string to six straight when the teams meet for their second AFC South bout of this season Sunday afternoon in J-Ville. Houston may only have one victory on the season but is favored by a touchdown here. How are we playing this game with our free NFL pick?

NFL Betting Odds

Week 9 NFL betting odds opened Houston at around -5 for this game, with an over/under of 51. Early betting action then bumped the Texans to -7 and dipped that total to 50.

Texans vs. Jaguars Betting Preview

Houston is a miserable 1-7 on the season, after losing at home to Green Bay two weeks ago 35-20. The Texans then had last week off.

Houston allowed the Packers to drive the opening possession of the game 75 yards to a touchdown, punted on its own first three possessions, and trailed 21-0 at the half. The Texans showed a glimmer of interest by driving the opening possession of the second half 75 yards to a score but immediately let Green Bay score again, and that was about it.

Houston also whiffed against the spread as a 2.5-point home dog.

For the day, Houston got out-gained by the Packers, but only by a margin of 379-365. But the Texans also shot themselves in the foot a couple of times with costly defensive penalties and missed a field goal when the game was still competitive, creating a -10 point swing.

Houston has now been out-gained and out-rushed six times in seven games this season.

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Three weeks ago, the Texans botched a game at Tennessee, turning a late 36-29 lead into a 42-36 overtime loss. And they pissed away the cover, too, as four-point dogs.

At 1-7 overall, Houston is just looking to stem the negative tide that’s rolled over this team.

Jacksonville, meanwhile, following a promising start to this season, now owns a six-game losing skid after falling at the Chargers last week 39-29. The Jaguars fell down 16-0 early but pulled to within 16-14 at the half. Jacksonville then took the lead on a blocked punt return for a score early in the third quarter and later led 29-22. But the Jags gave up the last 17 points of the game to lose both SU and ATS as eight-point dogs.

On the day Jacksonville got out-gained by the Chargers 484-294, lost time of possession by a 35:25 split, and committed the only turnover of the game, which led directly to the touchdown that put the Jags down for good.

Jacksonville has now been out-gained each of its last four games, three times by at least 100 yards.

The Jaguars opened this season with a win over Indianapolis and a close loss to Tennessee. But since then, four of their five losses have come by double-digits.

Jacksonville has also now allowed at least 30 points each of its last six games.

At 1-6, overall, the Jags are just looking for some momentum for the future.

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Texans-Jaguars Recent History

Houston owns a five-game winning streak in the rivalry with Jacksonville, going 4-1 ATS in the process. The Texans swept the season series from the Jaguars each of the last two seasons, then won the first meeting between the teams this season 30-14 back in Week 5, covering at -6.5.

That game also played under a total of 55.

NFL Betting Trends

  • Houston is 1-2 both SU and ATS since canning Coach O’Brien.
  • Houston is 25-19 SU, 20-20-4 ATS with Deshaun Watson as the starter at quarterback.
  • Jacksonville is 22-33 SU, 23-30-2 ATS in three-plus seasons under Coach Marrone.
  • Jacksonville is 7-12 SU, 9-10 ATS, with Gardner Minshew starting at QB.
  • Home teams are 60-58 SU, 54-63 ATS in the NFL this season.
  • Favorites are 75-42 SU but only 49-67 ATS in the NFL this season.
  • Home dogs are 13-29 SU, 22-18 ATS in the NFL this season.

Totals Report

Overs are 4-3 in Texans games this season, which are averaging 55 total points against an average over/under of 52.

Overs are also 4-3 in Jags games this season, which are averaging 53 points against an average O/U of 49.

Unders are 5-0 over the last five games in the series between these two teams, which have trended low-scoring.

Overs are 63-54 in the NFL this season.

Free NFL Pick

We don’t know who’s going to win this game, and neither team is worthy of a betting recommendation. But with two decent quarterbacks and two terrible defenses, we expect some points to be scored. So despite the recent trend in the series with these two teams, we’re playing the over here for our free NFL pick. Bet this game and ALL your college and pro football bets at -105 odds instead of the spendier -110 your book is socking you with! Making the switch to reduced juice betting will save you thousands of dollars in vigorish that you could be using to place more bets! Find this great offer as well as 20 point teasers, 25 team parlays and a TON of prop bets at BetAnySports!

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