Washington Redskins (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
NFL Week 4
Date/Time: Monday, October 2, 2017 at 8:30 P.M. EST
Where: Arrowhead Stadium
by Jerbeek, Expert Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Was +7/KC -7
Over/Under Total: 49
The Washington Redskins get back to back prime time appearances when they face the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football. The Redskins are coming off an impressive win on Sunday night when they surprised the Oakland Raiders at home in a 27-10. The Chiefs are 3-0 after going to the road to defeat division foe Los Angeles Chargers by a score of 24-10.
The Redskins are led by QB Kirk Cousins who has thrown for 784 yards and 5 touchdowns while throwing 1 interception. The Redskins were without starting RB Rob Kelley in week 3. Samaje Perine filled in until he left with a hand injury forcing Chris Thompson into action. It would appear that this will probably be a running back committee going forward. Thompson is also the teams leading receiver with 231 yards. The Redskins have not had much production yet with Terrelle Pryor Sr. or Jamison Crowder. TE Jordan Reed also missed week 3 and is questionable for the matchup with the Chiefs.
Chiefs QB Alex Smith is off to a great start to what could possibly be his last year in Kansas City. Smith has thrown for 774 yards completing 77% of his passes. He has thrown for 7 touchdowns and has not yet been intercepted. Rookie RB Kareem Hunt, who was not expected to be a starter this season until Spencer Ware went down with a season ending injury, has been off to an amazing start. Hunt leads the NFL in rushing with 401 yards rushing and 5 touchdowns and has added another 137 yards receiving. The receiving game is led by Tyreek Hill who has big play ability with his amazing speed. Hill has 253 yards receiving and 2 touchdowns. TE Travis Kelce has also chipped in with 144 yards receiving and a touchdown.
Washington has rushed for 4.5 yards against teams that average 4.3 yards per attempt. They have passed for 7.3 yards per attempt against teams that average 7.3 yards. Overall they have been very average as they have averaged 6.0 yards per play against teams that give up an average of 6.0 yards per play.
On defense, Washington has been very good as they have held opponents to 3.1 yards rushing against teams that average 4.1 yards. In the passing game they have given up 6.6 yards per attempt against teams that average 7.5 yards. Overall they have given up 5.3 yards per play against teams that average 6.0 yards.
The Kansas City defense came up with 3 interceptions against Phillip Rivers in week 3. The Chiefs have been vulnerable against the run as the defense has given up 4.3 yards per rush against teams that average 3.8 yards. In passing the Chiefs have given up 6.3 yards per attempt against teams that average 7.4 yards. Overall the defense has given up 5.5 yards per play against teams that average 6.0 yards.
The Redskins have been good to underdog bettors when going on the road as they are 16-8 ATS over the past 3 seasons. The Chiefs have a great home field advantage but dont really excel as a home favorite as they are only 6-10 ATS spread at home the past 3 years.
Jerbeeks Pick to Cover the Point Spread: The Chiefs come home for a non division game after returning from a big divisional road win. I look for the Chiefs to have a bit of letdown in this spot and when combined with the Redskins ability to run the ball I think this will be a close games. I see the Chiefs winning 24-21 but a win ATS for the Redskins. My recommendation is to play the Washington Redskins plus the 7 points. Bet this game and all of your wagers at a sportsbook that lets you bet at discounted odds (-105 instead of -110), thatoffers live in game betting and that has the biggest variety of wagers (including high school football betting). Oh, and they offer FAST no hassle payouts as well! —> 5Dimes!