Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants Pick
Washington Redskins (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. New York Giants (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
When: Sunday, September 29th, 2019 – 1:00 PM ET
Where: MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, NJ
Point Spread: WAS +3 / NYG -3
Power Ratings: G-Men -6
Takeaways From Week Three
The Redskins looked uninspiring on Monday Night Football when they trailed by as much as 25 against a Chicago Bears team that was looking to make a statement after getting off to a rough start in the 2019 season. Washington was nowhere near close to covering closing as a five-point underdog by kick-off.
The Giants orchestrated a heroic comeback against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to christen the beginning of the Daniel Jones era. Trailing by as much as 18 points at half-time, Big Blue stormed back to win the game by a score of 32-31 when Dan The Man himself carried the Giants across paydirt with just over a minute remaining in regulation. New York closed as a five-point underdog and thus earned its first ATS victory, as well.
How the Public is Betting the Washington-New York Game
In the early going we have seen 63% of the public take to the Giants as the favorite. As a result, the G-Men are now spotting an additional 1.5 points in comparison to their opening price as a 1.5-point favorite.
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The Giants won the last meeting between both sides in December of 2018 when Big Blue hosted the Skins at MetLife Stadium. Closing as a three-point favorite, the Giants rinsed the Redskins 40-16 to produce an easy cover.
Two noteworthy trends are surrounding this series, both of which concern Over/Under players. The Under is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings at MetLife Stadium, and the Under is also 4-1 ATS in the previous five contests between both sides overall.
The Giants suffered a huge blow when they lost running back Saquon Barkley to a high-ankle sprain that has left the Offensive Rookie of the Year out of action for four to eight weeks. Half Back Wayne Gallman will see an increase in touches in Barkley’s absence. No matter how you slice this one, losing Barkley hinders Big Blue’s offensive operations regardless of who fills in for the injured star.
Why We Like The Redskins To Cover
The stage is set for the Giants to suffer a colossal let-down. The Giants had to rally back from a significant margin down to win in emotional fashion. Time and time again, teams that win in this matter come in flat in their follow-up. Given the nature of who the G-Men have to face in their next stint, the Redskins are a prime candidate to take advantage. After all, Washington did not leave national audiences with a favorable impression on Monday Night Football as they looked pedestrian until Chicago called off the dogs when the game seemed to be well in hand. Furthermore, there is also an overreaction element that we must factor in this equation. Few picked the Giants to win let alone cover against the Bucs last week after Tampa Bay defeated Carolina on Thursday Night Football in the week prior. However, now the G-Men and most significantly, Daniel Jones are one of the trendiest topics in the NFL. All of these elements place the Giants to be in a position to be overvalued. Nevertheless, in light of all these circumstances with the G-Men enchanting audiences, while the Skins offered a good reason to abandon them, the market was reluctant to give this Washington team a field goal. This narrative speaks volumes to me.
Keith’s Pick to Cover the Spread: Washington +140 (Money Line)
Let me preface my selection by stating that Daniel Jones has a bright future wearing a New York Giants jersey and his debut had all the ingredients to make him a future legend. However, the Giants are playing with their best offensive player (Saquon Barkley), and that will make this team one-dimensional and allow this Washington defense to focus their attack on mitigating Jones. We know all too well the troughs and valleys that rookie quarterbacks can undergo as a part of the learning curve. Last week was a high for Jones, and this week will likely be a low with the Skins dialing up the heat against him. The Redskins’ strategy will be to force Daniel Jones to beat them, and they will be better prepared for him compared to Tampa Bay who likely took their foot of the gas prematurely when they had the G-Men all but down for the count. Had the Giants lost last week, they likely would not have even been favored in this game. In most occasions, their deficit would have also been too much to overcome. Once again, in spite of all of this, the market opened with the Giants not even spotting a safety to a team that has no market credibility to its name given how it has played this season. Spare me the points; I’m taking Washington outright. The Redskins will steal their first win of the season at the expense of the Giants who may still be hungover from last week’s theatrics. Betting Advice: Wagering odds are not universal! Some online sportsbooks are more aggressive in gaining your business and offer discounted betting odds. While the point spreads are generally similar at most books, the odds (price you pay) is not! So this leads to the question of “Why would you bet on the Redskins with $100 to win $140 when you can bet the very same $100 to win $145 or $150 somewhere else? This may not sound like much, but this adds up HUGE over time. With that being said, the online betting site that consistently offers you lower priced on favorites and higher payouts on underdogs is 5Dimes. Check them out and start betting smarter and saving money today!