Week 12: Giants vs. Bears Analysis & Prediction

by | Nov 21, 2019 | nfl

New York Giants (2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS) vs. Chicago Bears (4-6, 3-7 ATS)

When: Sunday, November 24th, 2019 – 1:00 PM ET

Where: Soldier Field – Chicago, IL

TV: FOX

Point Spread: NYG +6.5 / CHI -6.5 (GTBets - DEPOSIT $100 AND GET A FREE $100 BET!)

Total: 40.5

Power Ratings: Chicago -13

Takeaways From Week Eleven

The Giants step into this game off a bye preceded by a loss to their cross-city rivals, the New York Jets. In the aforementioned defeat in the “Battle of New York”, the Giants closed as a field-goal favorite, but Gang Green would still demand rent money from their “stadium-mates” in a 34-27 upset victory. The Giants have lost six games in a row heading into this match-up.

The Monsters of the Midway left the Windy City to head west to the City of Angels to square off with the Los Angeles Rams in a prime-time Sunday Night match-up. The Bears were defeated 17-7 and failed to cover as a five-point underdog.

How the Public is Betting the New York-Chicago Game

The public has seemingly gotten all over the Giants from the get-go as we have seen the line fall by 2.5 points from Chicago opening as a nine-point favorite to where they rest now as a 6.5-point choice. To reinforce these line moves, 61% of the consensus like the G-Men with the points.

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The Historical

These two sides met just last year at MetLife Stadium when New York curated hosting duties. Overtime was required to determine a victor, but the triumphant team was Big Blue. The Giants closed as a four-point underdog but managed to pull out a thrilling 30-27 win in extra time.

Betting Trends

Several trends will assuredly steer action toward the Giants in this spot. To begin, New York is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the Bears and G-Men. Moreover, the Underdog is 6-2 ATS in the previous eight matches. To complement this, the Road Team is also 6-2 ATS in the last eight games. As a road underdog, the Giants profitability combined with the spot has made them a public underdog as a result. This raises a red flag in itself.

Injury Concerns

The Giants currently list three injury concerns to key offensive starters, all of whom are listed as questionable for this match-up. The list includes Wide Receiver Sterling Shepard who is working his way through the concussion protocol, Tight End Evan Engram, who is nursing a mild foot sprain, and stand-out Running Back Saquon Barkley who is recovering from a shoulder injury. This is where the report stands with New York at the time this article was written on Tuesday morning.

Why We Like The Bears To Cover

Some other betting sites would suggest that the Bears are actually spotting a touchdown less than what they should be, thus making them supremely undervalued. Given the fact we have seen the Giants emerge as a public underdog, this is almost a certainty in this scenario. The 2.5-point line move downward creates value in itself in laying the favorite as a swing of this nature extracts all the value that remained on the underdog, to begin with. We could simply cite this as our rationale to get behind the Bears, but that is not where it ends. Chicago remembers what happened last year in the Meadowlands, and they will be looking to atone for the overtime loss against the G-Men. This time, they have their faithful behind them to get the job done. Lest we also forget, Chicago is not out of the playoff discussion by any means, they can still slither into the post-season if they finish 9-7. Though that prospect seems like tough sledding with Green Bay, Kansas City, Minnesota, and Dallas on the horizon, one thing is for sure, Chi-town knows that this is a winnable game, and they will bring the hammer early to dispel any form of resistance from the Giants.

Keith’s Pick to Cover the Spread: Chicago Bears -6.5

We would have been alright laying nine points here to the Giants with all the questions that surround their offensive personnel, but if the market insists it is less than a touchdown now, then allow me to dive in all by all means. Chicago will win ts his game by a double-digit margin and silence any critics that may be overreacting to the prime-time result on Sunday night. Though Chicago struggles offensively, scoring just 16.9 points per game (28th overall), they will find an up-swing in scoring this week against a 30th-ranked Giants defense that gives up 28.9 points per match. The Bears will score early, build a significant lead, and never look back. Bet your Bears pick and ALL your college and pro football bets at -105 reduced odds at BetAnySports! Making the switch from -110 odds to -105 odds will save you hundreds of dollars over the course of the season. Imagine the savings over ten years! They pay fast too!