AC Milan vs. Inter Milan Match Odds – Pick

AC Milan vs. Inter Milan – Italy Serie A Match Preview, San Siro, Milan Italy, 3:45 PM EST Sunday October 7, 2012

By Jason Green, Soccer/Football Tipster,

Match Odds: AC Milan 2.37 / Inter Milan 2.90 / Draw 3.30
Moneyline: AC Milan +138 / Inter Milan +190 / Draw +230
Over/Under: 2.5 goals

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The big derby match is one that is very needed by AC Milan, as they have really struggled out of the games in the Serie A season with only 7 points in their first 6 matches. However, they scored a HUGE way win over Zenit St Petersburg in their last Champions League match and they hope that can kick start their domestic season.

After a very disappointing finish last season in Serie A Inter Milan is off to a good start this time around and they are in 2nd place tied with Lazio only 4 points behind Juventus and Napoli. Inter beat Neftchi on Thursday night in Europa League play, weird to see them in Europa League and not the Champions League, and they have 3 wins in their last 3 matches.

While AC Milan is playing good defense their offense has struggled only scoring 7 goals in their 6 league matches and they really miss Zlatan Ibrohimovich. Inter has conceded just as many goals as AC Milan (6), but they are 1 of only 4 teams in Serie A that has scored in double digits.

This match is being held at San Siro, which AC Milan and Inter share as home field.


Diego Milito and Antonio Cassano have combined for 7 goals this season and they will be a handful for the AC Milan defense that has conceded 5 goals in their last 4 matches. With Inter pressing for a win I see one if not both of these players finding the back of the net.

Stephan El Shaarawy and Giampaolo Pazzini have scored all the goals for AC Milan in league play and if Inter and their solid in-form defense can keep these guys in check they have a great chance to win the match. I see that happening and while they will be frustrated one of them will score.

Samir Handanovic has played well for Inter in goal since taking over for Julio Cesar and he will be solid in this match, but he will not keep a clean sheet.

AC Milan’s Esteben Cambiasso has been thrust into a new role as the central defender and he must play well in this match. His play may be the key to the match, as he not only has to play well on defense, but spurn the counter-attack.

Last season Inter won both matches against AC Milan at San Siro.

One big loss for Inter is MF Wesley Sneijder, who was injured recently in training and he will be out around a month. His playmaking skills in the midfield will be missed.

Christian Abbiati made several fantastic saves in the Zenit Champions League Champions League match, but like Handanovic he will not keep a clean sheet.

In the Zenit match AC Milan jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but allowed Zenit to score 2 in the beginning of the 2nd half. They were a little lucky to get an own goal for the 3rd and decisive score, but they played well throughout. They need to keep up that offensive pace in this game to make up for their struggling defense.

Inter Milan Recent Form

9/20/2012 Inter Milan 2 Rubin Kazan 2 (Europa League)
9/23/2012 Inter Milan 0 Siena 2 (Serie A)
9/26/2012 Chievo Verona 0 Inter Milan 2 (Serie A)
9/30/2012 Inter Milan 2 Fiorentina 1 (Serie A)
10/4/2012 Neftchi 1 Inter Milan 3 (Europa League)

AC Milan Recent Form

9/18/2012 AC Milan 0 Anderlecht 0 (Champions League)
9/23/2012 Udinese 2 AC Milan1 (Serie A)
9/26/2012 AC Milan 2 Cagliari 0 (Serie A)
9/29/2012 Parma 1 AC Milan 1 (Serie A)
10/3/2012 Zenit St Petersburg 2 AC Milan 3 (Champions League)

Jason’s Pick to Win the Match: This match is always a HUGE one in Serie A and both teams will be cautious in the first half. However, in the 2nd half I think Inter will come alive and their offense will take over. Inter Milan will win this derby match over AC Milan by a score of 2-1 or 3-1.