Arsenal vs. Manchester City and Pick to Win
Date:Sunday, November 5th, 2017
Where: English Premier League Etihad Stadium, Clayton, Manchester, UK
by Keith, Professional Soccer/Football Handicapper, Predictem
Match Odds: Arsenal 13/2, Manchester City 1/2, Draw 9/2
Moneyline: Arsenal +650, Manchester City -200, Draw +450
Over/Under Best Market: UNDER 3.5 (10/11) -110
Once again two of Soccers world capitals will jostle for football supremacy across all of England. Two cities that know each other quite well, Manchester and London. Its the Gunners of Arsenal against the Cityzens of Manchester City. The latest edition of this cross-country metropolitan feud will take place at Etihad Stadium in Manchester. This venue will feature a battle of champions as no two clubs have more FA Cup and English Premier League championships in the past six years than the Gunners of Arsenal and the Cityzens of Manchester City.
Currently, Arsenal rests in the upper echelons English Premier League table in the fifth position with 19 points. The Gunners could notch their way into the Champions League qualification quadrant if they improve their goal differential. They trail Chelsea by just two goals and have an identical record to the defending English Premier League champions. For the Mancunians, they stand alone at the top of the table with 28 points. The Cityzens have been nothing short of spectacular as they stand five points clear of second place Manchester United with a remarkable goal difference of 29. Man City has yet to lose a game in the Premier League this season. This game has a huge three-point swing on the table for both sides. For Arsenal, a win gets them back within striking distance of City and allows them to keep pace with Chelsea. For Man City, a win here allows the Powder Blues to pull away from yet another Premiership constituent.
Manchester City has begun to live dangerously. The Cityzens found themselves in a dogfight with West Bromwich Albion in their most recent outing. Overall, Man City has dominated everything it came across. Case and point, the 7-2 shelling of Stoke City a few weeks ago. Furthermore, Manchester City tied Wolverhampton Wanderers but this was a part of a competitive league that the Cityzens have little vested interest in winning. All eyes are on the Premiership. This is a common narrative concerning City. They typically get off to a hot start and show signs of attrition once they get into mid-season form. Nevertheless, the Powder Blues defense is astoundingly better. All the funds emptied from its purse in the off-season has seemed to paid off. The defense shuts opponents downs and the attacks simply knows how to generate offense at will. The leadership of Pep Guardiola has been instrumental in Manchester City getting off to its scorching start where they are now considered the most viable candidate to win the league.
Arsenal has an infamous track record of road defeats as they have had faced tumult against a variety of opponents ranging in quality and strength. With Manchester Citys environment being one of the toughest to play across the globe, the Gunners are offered at insanely too good to be true odds as a result. In fact, these odds are likely designed to entice action on the Gunners be that they have been in exquisite form winning their last four outings overall. There is a very good chance the market would not expose itself like this if there was a significant chance Arsenal was going to come away with three points.
On the contrary, we will not by any means endorse backing Manchester City given the insane juice required. The draw has the most equity, be that it is certainly viable for both sides given the fact Arsenal in particular would be overjoyed to get out of Manchester with a point. To further reinforce this principle in Over/Under Goal markets we will go ahead and call for the UNDER 3.5 as scoring will likely be minimized despite the two sides offering plenty of offensive firepower. At a traditional vig, this would be prudent be that is far easier to win an Under bet in the game of soccer than it is with Overs and not much risk is required. In this contest, this is especially relevant be that Manchester Citys defense will certainly be setting the ebb and flow while Arsenal will look to defend more than attack given the proficiency of the Cityzens forwards. Ultimately here we stand to risk 2.1 units for the potential of picking up 5.5 units if both wagers land.
Arsenal Recent Form
W Swansea City 2-1
W Norwich City 2-1
W Everton 5-2
W Crvena Zvezda 1-0
L Watford 1-2
Manchester City Recent Form
W West Bromwich Albion 3-2
D Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-0
W Burnley 3-0
W Napoli 2-1
W Stoke City 7-2
Keith’s Prediction for the Game: DRAW 9/2 (+450) and UNDER 3.5 10/11 (-110)
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