Brooklyn Nets at Memphis Grizzlies
Saturday, November 14, 2026
8:00 PM ET, FedExForum
Memphis is a 5-point favorite at most books with the total sitting at 226. My play is the Grizzlies -5.
Here’s the strangest stat in the league right now: the Grizzlies are 6-0 on the road, the best road start in franchise history, and 2-4 at home. They’ve lost four straight at FedExForum, to New Orleans, Indiana, Oklahoma City and Denver. Then they went to New Orleans on Friday night and won by 31.
The market looks at that home split, sees a back-to-back and a banged-up frontcourt, and hands Memphis a short number against a 3-8 team. I think that’s a mistake.
Ten guys in double figures doesn’t happen by accident
Friday’s 142-111 win over the Pelicans was the kind of game that tells you a team is deeper than its injury report. Memphis tied an NBA record with 10 players in double figures, led by Jerami Grant’s 22, and buried 18 of 45 from deep while holding New Orleans to 7 of 31.
That wasn’t a fluke night. Memphis carries a top-10 offense and a top-10 defense by Basketball Reference’s efficiency numbers, outscoring opponents by 8 points per 100 possessions. Ty Jerome has been the engine at 26.2 points a game, and the shooting around him is real. Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells and Grant were all hitting better than 41% from three entering Friday.
Brooklyn sits on the other end of that scale. The Nets score about 110 points per 100 possessions, 23rd in the league, and give up 115. They also cough the ball up more than almost anyone, ranking 29th in turnover rate. Michael Porter Jr. (21.5 points) and Julius Randle (19.7) carry most of the scoring load, and neither has had much help on a nightly basis.
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Brooklyn’s best win came against a team in free fall
The Nets will show up rested. They last played Wednesday, a 145-111 rout in New Orleans where Egor Demin scored 22 in his return from a six-game absence with a bone bruise. That’s a nice box score, but the Pelicans had lost their previous game to Golden State by a franchise-record 51 points. Before that, Brooklyn had dropped three straight road games, including a 37-point loss in Dallas.
Saturday closes a four-game road trip for the Nets. Guards Nolan Traore (calf) and Mikel Brown Jr. (illness) are listed as day-to-day, and Traore has been one of their most efficient scorers, so his status matters.
What could go wrong
Plenty, and I’m not hiding from it. This is the second night of a back-to-back for Memphis. Zach Edey (ankle) and Quinten Post (concussion) are both out, so the Grizzlies are leaning on Isaiah Stewart in the middle. Grant also left Friday’s game late after colliding with Herb Jones, and his status for Saturday wasn’t clear at writing time. If he sits, Memphis loses a key bench scorer.
Then there’s that home record. Four straight home losses is a real thing, even if Oklahoma City and Denver accounted for two of them. And it’s mid-November, so the efficiency numbers on both sides still carry a small-sample caveat.
Still, the gap between these teams is wide. Memphis is 8-4 against the spread, and Brooklyn’s defense hasn’t shown it can slow a team that spreads the floor with this many shooters. Five points is a cheap price for that gap, even with tired legs.
Projected score: Grizzlies 118, Nets 108
The Pick: Grizzlies -5
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