Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Prediction & Analysis

by | Last updated Jul 31, 2023 | betting

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Monday, July 31st, 7:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Orioles +122/Blue Jays -145 (Stop overpaying for odds! Sports bets cost less at BAS!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Orioles on Monday, July 31st at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
BAL +122 +1.5 O 9 (-115)
TOR -145 -1.5 U 9 (-106)

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Gunnar Henderson 1 SS
Adley Rutschman 2 C
Anthony Santander 3 RF
Ryan O’Hearn 4 1B
Ryan Mountcastle 5 DH
Austin Hays 6 LF
Colton Cowser 7 CF
Adam Frazier 8 2B
Jordan Westburg 9 3B
Kyle Gibson SP

 

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 RF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Brandon Belt 3 DH
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 4 1B
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Whit Merrifield 6 2B
Daulton Varsho 7 LF
Danny Jansen 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Chris Bassitt SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 64-41 SU / OU 54-44 / Runline 63-42
Toronto Blue Jays: 59-47 SU / OU 44-58 / Runline 50-56

Even though the Orioles are in first place in the AL East, they have gone just 2-3 over their last five games. Baltimore’s overall record currently sits at 64-41, including going 32-20 on the road and 32-21 at home. Their series record stands at 18-11-3.

 

  • The Orioles have covered the runline in 60.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Orioles have been favored in 45.7% of their games and have runline records of 25-28 and 38-14 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Orioles’ 105 games at 54-44.

The Blue Jays head into today’s game vs. the Orioles with an overall record of 59-47. This mark has them sitting 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 5.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 30-26 and 29-21, respectively. Toronto’s overall series record sits at 20-12.

 

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 47.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 70.8% of their games and have runline records of 22-28 and 28-28 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 44-58.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Kyle Gibson 22 22 127 9-6 4.68 1.32 11

 

Baltimore starter Kyle Gibson enters with an overall record of 9-6 and ERA of 4.68. His ERA on the road is 4.33 and 6.34 when pitching at home. Gibson’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.32 with a batting average allowed of .263. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .398 against him.

Even though Gibson finished with a quality start in his last outing, the Orioles still lost to the Phillies by a score of 4-3, and Gibson finishing with a no-decision. In the game, he pitched six innings while allowing two earned runs on four hits.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Chris Bassitt 22 22 126 10-5 3.91 1.22 19

 

Chris Bassitt has an overall record of 10-5, and will get the start for the Blue Jays. With 22 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.91, while his K/9 figure is 8.38. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.60 and an OBP of .302.

In Chris Bassitt’s last game, he threw five innings for the Blue Jays. While allowing two runs on four hits, he took a no-decision. The team lost the game to the Dodgers with a score of 8-7.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

With 105 games under their belt, the Orioles are currently 10th in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Baltimore’s home run ranking is 13th, with the team having hit 123 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .239 on the road and .248 at home, is .249.

Baltimore Orioles Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Anthony Santander .256 .328 .470 58 18 3
Adley Rutschman .272 .374 .427 47 14 0
Gunnar Henderson .241 .332 .463 44 16 5

 

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Adley Rutschman .312 5 4 1 .500
Anthony Santander .125 2 2 1 .375
Adam Frazier .194 2 2 1 .556
Ryan O’Hearn .163 3 1 0 .275
Gunnar Henderson .217 3 2 0 .367

 

On offense, Toronto is 13th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 13th, having hit 123 homers. Their overall batting average is .262, including .253 on the road and .258 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bo Bichette .308 13 .469 .346
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .260 17 .466 .335
Whit Merrifield .312 7 .442 .353
George Springer .259 11 .405 .315
Matt Chapman .245 11 .447 .342

 

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Whit Merrifield .463 8 4 2 .887
Alejandro Kirk .250 3 3 2 .750
Bo Bichette .438 8 2 0 .550
Danny Jansen .229 3 3 2 .666
Matt Chapman .208 3 1 1 .542

 

Free MLB Pick

Both of today’s starters have poor back numbers against tonight’s opponent. The Orioles roster has a .371 batting average over 35 at-bats versus the Jays’ starter Chris Bassitt. The Jays’ lineup has a career .272 batting average of .272 over 151 at-bats versus Kyle Gibson. Take the Over 9. Bet your MLB picks for FREE this week by scoring a 50% real cash bonus + enjoy the benefits of the BEST live betting platform on the web at Bovada Sportsbook! It’s where we play!

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