Miami Hurricanes vs. Duke Blue Devils Predictions

by | Mar 11, 2022 | cbb

Miami Hurricanes (23-9 SU, 17-15-0 ATS) vs. Duke Blue Devils (27-5 SU, 17-13-2 ATS)
When: Friday March 11 2022, 7:00 PM PM (ET)
Where: Barclays Center

Point Spread: Miami +9/Duke -9 (Everygame)
Total: 151.5
Money Line: Hurricanes +330/Duke -441

Key Injuries

Miami Harlond Beverly: Back (OUT)

Duke Duke has no reported injuries at this time.

Recent Form

The Miami Hurricanes come into this matchup with an overall record of 23-9. On the season, the Hurricanes have performed well in their 21 conference games, posting a record of 15-6. This mark is good for 4th in the ACC. In addition to playing well in the ACC, Miami has performed well on the road. Through 17 games, the Hurricanes are 13-4 away from home or on neutral sites. Heading into this matchup, the Hurricanes are looking to stay hot, as they try to add on to their current 3 game win streak.

The Duke Blue Devils get set to host the Hurricanes with an overall record of 27-5. On the season, the Blue Devils have performed well in their 21 conference games, posting a record of 17-4. This mark is good for 1st in the ACC. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 4-1.

For the season, the Miami Hurricanes are averaging 74.8 points per game, good for a rank of 58th in the NCAA. When playing on the road, the Hurricanes’ scoring average drops to 72.25. However, the Hurricanes are playing better defense away from home, giving up -3.0 points per game. On the other side, the Duke Blue Devils are the 7th ranked scoring offense, averaging 80.6 points per game.

Efficiency Outlook

Duke enters this matchup vs Miami, having played 31 games as the more efficient offense and defensive team. In these contests, they have posted a record of 26-5. Through 32 games, the Blue Devils are averaging 80.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 80.0 for the Blue Devils. In these situations, Duke has an average scoring margin of 15.0 points. Until this point, the Hurricanes have not played a game in which they were the inferior team on both ends of the court. In terms of offensive efficiency, Duke is averaging 80.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 76.0 for the Hurricanes.

For the year, the Hurricanes are well below the NCAA average in percentage of points from made three-point shots, sitting at just 29.2%. On the other side, the Blue Devils have been a very balanced scoring unit, with 31.3% of their scoring coming from downtown. In terms of efficiency, Duke has been the more efficient team, connecting at a rate of 37.6%, compared to Miami at 35.2%.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Hurricanes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Blue Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Joe’s Against the Spread Pick

Don’t let the Blue Devils loss to UNC fool you into thinking they’re not playing well. Prior to that loss, they were smashing. I’m laying the points with Duke here.